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Dangerous Friday severe weather threat targets 50M from Texas to the Midwest

Dangerous Friday severe weather threat targets 50M from Texas to the Midwest

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Dangerous severe weather is expected to develop across a corridor from Wisconsin to Texas beginning early Friday afternoon. More than 50 million people in the Midwest and the Plains are in the path of storms that could generate strong tornadoes, “monster” hail, and hurricane-force wind gusts.

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Much of the Central U.S. has been hammered by rounds of severe weather earlier this week, including destructive flooding in Wisconsin, Texas, and Kansas, alongside several damaging tornadoes across the Midwest.

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A dip in the jet stream — which acts as an atmospheric conveyor belt for storms — is ushering in an area of low pressure out of the Northwest that will ignite into severe thunderstorms beginning Friday afternoon. These storms will fire up over the middle of the country along the boundary between dry air in the west and moist air from the Gulf that’s heating up the eastern U.S.

NOAA’S Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued a Level 3 out of 5 risk of severe thunderstorms across a 700-mile corridor just north of Oklahoma City, through Kansas City, Missouri and into La Crosse, Wisconsin. The Chicago metro area is also within this threat for the most intense storms.

Supercell thunderstorms capable of producing strong (EF-3) tornadoes could form beginning in the early afternoon across parts of Wisconsin, Minnesota, and northeast Iowa.

Supercells are also possible from Kansas City into northern Oklahoma through the daytime hours. 

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These storms could also generate “monster” hail — hailstones greater than 3 inches in diameter. 

A broader Level 2 threat stretches from Wichita Falls, Texas through northern Wisconsin and northwestern Indiana. This includes Oklahoma City, St. Louis and Milwaukee.

By the evening and into the overnight hours, damaging wind gusts of 75 mph or greater will become the main hazard across the Plains and Midwest, as the storms may evolve into more of a squall line as they near the Mississippi River. 

According to the SPC, northern Missouri, the eastern edge of Iowa and central and northern Illinois, including Peoria and Springfield, are within the bull’s-eye of the damaging wind threat.

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Storms shift east through the weekend

Through Saturday, the entire system will shift east into the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes regions.

With the associated cold front pushing east, it will likely organize into a line of storms primarily producing damaging winds.

A Level 2 risk covers eastern Ohio and western Pennsylvania, including Columbus, Cleveland, and Pittsburgh, before storms begin to weaken as they approach the East Coast late Saturday night.

A broader Level 1 threat covers the rest of Ohio, as well as northern Kentucky, much of West Virginia and western New York.

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These storms will help cool off the eastern U.S. which has experienced a record-breaking heat wave this week, dropping temperatures back into the 50s.

Stay tuned to FOX Weather as we continue to track the development of these storms and provide the latest information to stay safe this week.

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