{"id":103024,"date":"2026-04-10T09:07:41","date_gmt":"2026-04-10T12:07:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/march-cpi-what-to-expect-from-the-first-us-inflation-report-since-the-iran-war-began\/"},"modified":"2026-04-10T09:07:41","modified_gmt":"2026-04-10T12:07:41","slug":"march-cpi-what-to-expect-from-the-first-us-inflation-report-since-the-iran-war-began","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/en\/march-cpi-what-to-expect-from-the-first-us-inflation-report-since-the-iran-war-began\/","title":{"rendered":"March CPI: What to expect from the first US inflation report since the Iran war began"},"content":{"rendered":"

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\n The Consumer Price Index for March, set to be released at 8:30 a.m. Friday, is expected to show that US inflation bolted higher as a direct result of the Middle East war\u2019s energy shock<\/a>.\n <\/p>\n

\n Economists are estimating that prices leapt 0.9% from February, more than triple the pace seen in January. Such an increase would drive the annual rate of inflation to 3.4% from 2.4%<\/a>.\n <\/p>\n

\n That would not only put inflation back at a level not seen in nearly two years but it would nearly wipe out Americans\u2019 pay gains of 3.5%.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cWe\u2019ll definitely see elevated prices eating away at people\u2019s paychecks,\u201d Elise Gould, a senior economist at the Economic Policy Institute, told CNN.\n <\/p>\n

\n The ceasefire<\/a> reached earlier this week stemmed some fears that the conflict could drastically deepen or even come to a resolution sooner than later. However, uncertainty continues to linger<\/a> as do the potential inflationary effects.\n <\/p>\n

\n Even before the war, inflation was running higher than normal, kept elevated by tariff-related price hikes on goods as well as still-strong consumer demand, to a lesser extent, on services.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cInflation pressures were already building before the war and are now intensifying,\u201d Dean Baker, senior economist at the Center for Economic and Policy Research, wrote Wednesday.\n <\/p>\n

\n Inflation is expected to continue to accelerate in the coming months as the war\u2019s aftershocks ripple beyond gas prices and permeate through a host of commonly purchased goods as well as some services.\n <\/p>\n

\n Sharply rising gas and energy prices are expected to be the biggest contributor to March\u2019s expected jump in inflation, Samuel Tombs, chief US economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, told CNN.\n <\/p>\n

\n Pantheon is expecting a 23% rise in gas prices, which would be the highest monthly increase on record for the index.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cThere\u2019s been bigger energy price shocks in total, but they\u2019ve rippled through over several months,\u201d he said. \u201cThis just came through in one month.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n If Pantheon\u2019s math bears out, the increase in gas prices would account for more than two-thirds of the firm\u2019s projected 1% monthly increase in the overall CPI.\n <\/p>\n

\n It\u2019s an abrupt increase on its own but one that comes with some legs.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cThe energy price shock will take many months to play out to other parts of the economy,\u201d Tombs said. \u201cGoods prices won\u2019t change immediately, but after three to six months, you tend to see energy price changes filter through to consumers.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n
\n <\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture>\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n Still, some oil-related price hikes could show up immediately. The CPI data on airfares, for example, are drawn from bookings during the month, not necessarily the flights taken, he said.\n <\/p>\n

\n Also, there may be some limited effects from companies imposing surcharges<\/a> to cover higher transportation costs, said CEPR\u2019s Baker. Those types of increases, however, will likely show up more in April\u2019s data, he added.\n <\/p>\n

\n But it\u2019s not just oil. A choked-off Strait of Hormuz has interrupted a flow of critical materials, including fertilizers, aluminum and helium.\n <\/p>\n

\n Rising fertilizer prices and higher transportation costs could hit hard at the grocery store, piling atop some increases that were already in the pipeline, Baker noted.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201c[Food] prices were already rising rapidly at the wholesale level in February, even before the war,\u201d he wrote. \u201cA huge jump in fruit and vegetable prices was a main factor in the increase, likely connected to the loss of immigrant farm workers.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n While various price pressures are now being compounded by the effects of the war, at least one big contributor of inflation is moving in a welcome direction. Rents and housing-related inflation are continuing to slow, helping to keep a lid on some of the increases, Tombs said.\n <\/p>\n

\n This story will be updated after the Consumer Price Index report is released at 8:30 a.m.<\/em>\n <\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

Source link <\/a>
\nSee more https:\/\/theglobaltrack.com\/<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Consumer Price Index for March, set to be released at 8:30 a.m. Friday, is expected to show that US inflation bolted higher as a direct result of the Middle East war\u2019s energy shock. Economists are estimating that prices leapt 0.9% from February, more than triple the pace seen in January. Such an increase would […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":103025,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"googlesitekit_rrm_CAow2JLhCw:productID":"","_gspb_post_css":"","maa_idioma":"","maa_pais":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[14655,18605,10157,4667,7054,7086,3285,4800],"class_list":["post-103024","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ubirata","tag-began","tag-cpi","tag-expect","tag-inflation","tag-iran","tag-march","tag-report","tag-war"],"blocksy_meta":[],"yoast_head":"\nMarch CPI: What to expect from the first US inflation report since the Iran war began - Ubirat\u00e3 Online Not\u00edcias - A realidade ao seu alcance!<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The Consumer Price Index for March, set to be released at 8:30 a.m. Friday, is expected to show that US inflation bolted higher as a direct result of the Middle East war\u2019s energy shock.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/en\/march-cpi-what-to-expect-from-the-first-us-inflation-report-since-the-iran-war-began\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"March CPI: What to expect from the first US inflation report since the Iran war began\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The Consumer Price Index for March, set to be released at 8:30 a.m. Friday, is expected to show that US inflation bolted higher as a direct result of the Middle East war\u2019s energy shock.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/en\/march-cpi-what-to-expect-from-the-first-us-inflation-report-since-the-iran-war-began\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Ubirat\u00e3 Online Not\u00edcias - 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