{"id":109121,"date":"2026-04-16T14:06:43","date_gmt":"2026-04-16T17:06:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/will-the-mandalorian-grogu-71m-3-day-help-revive-star-wars-on-the-big-screen-for-memorial-weekend-box-office-theory\/"},"modified":"2026-04-16T14:06:43","modified_gmt":"2026-04-16T17:06:43","slug":"will-the-mandalorian-grogu-71m-3-day-help-revive-star-wars-on-the-big-screen-for-memorial-weekend-box-office-theory","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/en\/will-the-mandalorian-grogu-71m-3-day-help-revive-star-wars-on-the-big-screen-for-memorial-weekend-box-office-theory\/","title":{"rendered":"Will THE MANDALORIAN &#038; GROGU ($71M+ 3-Day) Help Revive STAR WARS on the Big Screen for Memorial Weekend? \u2013 Box Office Theory"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<div>\n<p><strong>The full version of this report appears in\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/boxofficetheory.substack.com\/p\/box-office-tracking-forecasts-mandalorian-grogu-star-wars-big-screen-memorial-day\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\">Box Office Theory\u2019s Substack newsletter.<\/span><\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Key Tracking Factors &amp; Rationale:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><b><i>The Mandalorian &amp; Grogu\u00a0<\/i><\/b>(May 22 \/ Disney &amp; Lucasfilm)\n<ul>\n<li>After a six-and-a-half-year absence, the\u00a0<em>Star Wars<\/em> franchise returns to the big screen, following 2019\u2019s <em>Episode IX \u2013 The Rise of Skywalker<\/em>.<\/li>\n<li>The franchise has since encountered some of its highest highs and lowest lows in terms of critical reception, fan enthusiasm, and broader casual audience goodwill. Much of the momentum built by the enormous cinematic success of early Disney-era films, especially <em>The Force Awakens\u00a0<\/em>and\u00a0<em>Rogue One<\/em>, was diminished by highly divisive creative choices as the IP was pivoted toward a streaming strategy during the pandemic.<\/li>\n<li>One of the bright spots early in that era was\u00a0<em>The Mandalorian\u00a0<\/em>itself, developed by Jon Favreau (who helms this big screen feature) alongside franchise veteran Dave Filoni, who is set to take over the reigns of Lucasfilm with Lynwen Brennan as industry veteran and accomplished producer Kathleen Kennedy steps down after more than a decade.<\/li>\n<li>To boot, the character of Grogu (a.k.a. \u201cBaby Yoda\u201d) became an instant pop culture icon with his 2019 debut in the series. Combined with the return of Pedro Pascal as the (now \u201cother\u201d) title character, die-hard fans and some casual <em>Star Wars<\/em> viewers \u2014 especially families \u2014 should be upfront drivers for this cinematic follow-up to the streaming series over Memorial Day weekend as summer vacations begin.\n<ul>\n<li>Favreau\u2019s previous directorial success and the promise of a return to more grounded, practical effects in this film will also be appealing to more avid followers of the series, while the potential for a standalone adventure could prove to be a universal audience strength.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>On the other side of that coin, streaming-t0-big screen transitions for other franchises (namely the Marvel Cinematic Universe) have not played out to the same level of box office success as their predecessors. Some of this can be attributed to possibly having a different core audience (the at-home viewers), but equally so, the shared oversaturation of content and middling-to-poor reception of other undercooked storylines, whether or not they were directly associated with the originating spin-off.\n<ul>\n<li>Additionally, there is the question of how Disney can market the stakes of this film since it essentially serves as a sequel-prequel in the middle of previously established <em>Star Wars\u00a0<\/em>lore in the primary feature films, while notably not centering around most of the parent franchise\u2019s pillars (Jedi, Sith, forward-moving mythology, universe-ending threats, etc.).<\/li>\n<li>In that regard, <em>The Mandalorian &amp; Grogu<\/em> has similar mountains to climb as <em>The Marvels<\/em>, <em>Captain America: Brave New World<\/em>, and\u00a0<em>Thunderbolts*<\/em> did for Disney\u2019s MCU going into their theatrical launches.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>Ultimately, word of mouth will be key in the middle of a busy summer slate. <em>Star Wars <\/em>films are not typically as front-loaded as might seem obvious for a property with such a large fan base, but that speaks to its equally as large (or larger) family audience when the stories work as crowd-pleasers rather than homework for the next (or even previous) chapter.<\/li>\n<li>The film\u2019s position as the first bona fide family-friendly tentpole since April\u2019s <em>The Super Mario Galaxy Movie<\/em> also does it some favors for built-up demand, as will a blanket IMAX and premium screen presence.\n<ul>\n<li>From there, everything comes down to general audience buzz. Many fans will show up on opening weekend, but the likes of <em>The Breadwinner<\/em> (May 29),\u00a0<em>Masters of the Universe<\/em> (June 5),\u00a0<em>Disclosure Day<\/em> (June 12), and\u00a0<em>Toy Story 5<\/em> (June 19) will each vie for their own portions of the usual male- and kid-driven demographics the <em>Star Wars<\/em> franchise has often exceled among even when internet \u201cfandom\u201d and cinephile reception was less than stellar.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>While the recent Super Bowl ad was met with mixed reception online, internet reactions are not always fully indicative of wider commercial interest. Following next week\u2019s presentation at CinemaCon, we may revisit forecasts as marketing continues to evolve ahead of late-stage tracking metrics and ticket pre-sales.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>Other updates:\n<ul>\n<li><em><strong>Michael<\/strong><\/em> (April 24) continues to accelerate in pre-sale activity as general showtimes are pacing more strongly than a week ago. Some fan-driven interest could still be in play here, but so also may be the film\u2019s walk-up potential with moviegoers in and over the 45-50 age bracket on opening weekend. Reception remains a large unknown, and given the competition after it, we can\u2019t rule out a somewhat front-loaded run yet.<\/li>\n<li><em><strong>The Devil Wears Prada 2<\/strong><\/em> (May 1) remains strong in pre-release tracking as industry observations are close to our previously published ranges. Internal modeling continues to suggest a breakout debut with potential for legs through Mother\u2019s Day in its second frame and beyond into early summer. Minimal competition and the return of its all-star cast whowill appeal to multiple generations of a primarily female-driven audience are still top-of-mind in forecasts which could see the ceiling rise again before all is said and done.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Box Office Calendar, Tracking &amp; Forecasts<br \/><\/strong>as of 4\/9\/26<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\"><strong><em>NOTE: Beginning soon, all forecast charts will be available exclusively through our Substack.<\/em>\u00a0<a style=\"color: #ff6600;\" href=\"https:\/\/boxofficetheory.substack.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Click here to become a subscriber<\/a>.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<table width=\"977\" class=\"mtr-table mtr-tr-td\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"84\" data-mtr-content=\"Release Date\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p><strong>Release Date<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"195\" data-mtr-content=\"Title\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p><strong>Title<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"94\" data-mtr-content=\"Distributor\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p><strong>Distributor<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"108\" data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) LOW-END Opening\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p><strong>3-Day (FSS) LOW-END Opening<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"101\" data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) HIGH-END Opening\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p><strong>3-Day (FSS) HIGH-END Opening<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"108\" data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) PINPOINT Opening Forecast\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p><strong>3-Day (FSS) PINPOINT Opening Forecast<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"89\" data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total LOW-END\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p><strong>Domestic Total LOW-END<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"89\" data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total HIGH-END\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p><strong>Domestic Total HIGH-END<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: center;\" width=\"109\" data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total PINPOINT Forecast\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p><strong>Domestic Total PINPOINT Forecast<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Release Date\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>4\/17\/2026<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"195\" data-mtr-content=\"Title\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>Lee Cronin\u2019s The Mummy<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"94\" data-mtr-content=\"Distributor\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>Warner Bros. Pictures<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"108\" data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) LOW-END Opening\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$14,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"101\" data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) HIGH-END Opening\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$20,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) PINPOINT Opening Forecast\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$15,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total LOW-END\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$33,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total HIGH-END\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$59,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total PINPOINT Forecast\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$36,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Release Date\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>4\/24\/2026<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"195\" data-mtr-content=\"Title\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>Michael<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"94\" data-mtr-content=\"Distributor\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>Lionsgate<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"108\" data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) LOW-END Opening\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$75,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"101\" data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) HIGH-END Opening\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$90,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) PINPOINT Opening Forecast\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$81,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total LOW-END\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$165,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total HIGH-END\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$235,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total PINPOINT Forecast\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$202,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Release Date\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>4\/24\/2026<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"195\" data-mtr-content=\"Title\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>Over Your Dead Body<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"94\" data-mtr-content=\"Distributor\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>IFC Films<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"108\" data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) LOW-END Opening\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$1,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"101\" data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) HIGH-END Opening\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$3,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) PINPOINT Opening Forecast\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$1,500,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total LOW-END\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$1,500,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total HIGH-END\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$7,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total PINPOINT Forecast\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$3,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Release Date\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>5\/1\/2026<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"195\" data-mtr-content=\"Title\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>Animal Farm<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"94\" data-mtr-content=\"Distributor\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>Angel Studios<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"108\" data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) LOW-END Opening\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$3,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"101\" data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) HIGH-END Opening\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$7,500,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) PINPOINT Opening Forecast\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$4,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total LOW-END\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$7,500,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total HIGH-END\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$23,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total PINPOINT Forecast\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$10,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Release Date\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>5\/1\/2026<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"195\" data-mtr-content=\"Title\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>Deep Water<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"94\" data-mtr-content=\"Distributor\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>Magenta Light Studios<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"108\" data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) LOW-END Opening\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\"\/>\n<td width=\"101\" data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) HIGH-END Opening\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\"\/>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) PINPOINT Opening Forecast\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\"\/>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total LOW-END\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\"\/>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total HIGH-END\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\"\/>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total PINPOINT Forecast\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\"\/>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Release Date\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>5\/1\/2026<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"195\" data-mtr-content=\"Title\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>The Devil Wears Prada 2<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"94\" data-mtr-content=\"Distributor\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>Disney<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"108\" data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) LOW-END Opening\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$70,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"101\" data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) HIGH-END Opening\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$105,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) PINPOINT Opening Forecast\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$79,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total LOW-END\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$191,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total HIGH-END\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$295,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total PINPOINT Forecast\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$230,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Release Date\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>5\/1\/2026<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"195\" data-mtr-content=\"Title\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>Hokum<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"94\" data-mtr-content=\"Distributor\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>Neon<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"108\" data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) LOW-END Opening\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$4,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"101\" data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) HIGH-END Opening\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$9,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) PINPOINT Opening Forecast\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$8,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total LOW-END\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$8,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total HIGH-END\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$35,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total PINPOINT Forecast\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$19,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Release Date\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>5\/1\/2026<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"195\" data-mtr-content=\"Title\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>That Time I Got Reincarnated as a Slime the Movie: Tears of the Azure Sea<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"94\" data-mtr-content=\"Distributor\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>Sony Pictures<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"108\" data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) LOW-END Opening\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$1,500,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"101\" data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) HIGH-END Opening\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$5,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) PINPOINT Opening Forecast\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$2,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total LOW-END\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$1,500,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total HIGH-END\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$9,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total PINPOINT Forecast\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$3,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Release Date\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>5\/7\/2026<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"195\" data-mtr-content=\"Title\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>Iron Maiden: Burning Ambition<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"94\" data-mtr-content=\"Distributor\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>Trafalgar Releasing<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"108\" data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) LOW-END Opening\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$750,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"101\" data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) HIGH-END Opening\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$2,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) PINPOINT Opening Forecast\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$1,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"89\" data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total LOW-END\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$750,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"89\" data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total HIGH-END\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$2,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total PINPOINT Forecast\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$1,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Release Date\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>5\/8\/2026<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"195\" data-mtr-content=\"Title\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>Hit Me Hard and Soft: The Tour (Live in 3D)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"94\" data-mtr-content=\"Distributor\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>Paramount Pictures<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"108\" data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) LOW-END Opening\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$10,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"101\" data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) HIGH-END Opening\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$20,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) PINPOINT Opening Forecast\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$12,500,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total LOW-END\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$15,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total HIGH-END\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$32,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total PINPOINT Forecast\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$20,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Release Date\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>5\/8\/2026<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"195\" data-mtr-content=\"Title\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>Mortal Kombat II<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"94\" data-mtr-content=\"Distributor\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>Warner Bros. Pictures<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"108\" data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) LOW-END Opening\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$40,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"101\" data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) HIGH-END Opening\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$55,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) PINPOINT Opening Forecast\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$45,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total LOW-END\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$80,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total HIGH-END\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$120,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total PINPOINT Forecast\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$96,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Release Date\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>5\/8\/2026<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"195\" data-mtr-content=\"Title\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>The Sheep Detectives<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"94\" data-mtr-content=\"Distributor\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>Amazon MGM Studios<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"108\" data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) LOW-END Opening\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$10,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"101\" data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) HIGH-END Opening\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$16,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) PINPOINT Opening Forecast\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$11,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total LOW-END\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$36,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total HIGH-END\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$75,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total PINPOINT Forecast\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$47,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Release Date\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>5\/13\/2026<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"195\" data-mtr-content=\"Title\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>Top Gun (40th Anniversary)<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"94\" data-mtr-content=\"Distributor\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>Paramount Pictures<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"108\" data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) LOW-END Opening\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$2,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"101\" data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) HIGH-END Opening\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$4,500,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) PINPOINT Opening Forecast\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$3,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total LOW-END\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$4,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total HIGH-END\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$8,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total PINPOINT Forecast\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$6,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Release Date\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>5\/15\/2026<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"195\" data-mtr-content=\"Title\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>In the Grey<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"94\" data-mtr-content=\"Distributor\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>Black Bear<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"108\" data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) LOW-END Opening\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$6,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"101\" data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) HIGH-END Opening\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$11,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) PINPOINT Opening Forecast\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\"\/>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total LOW-END\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\"\/>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total HIGH-END\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\"\/>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total PINPOINT Forecast\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\"\/>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Release Date\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>5\/15\/2026<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"195\" data-mtr-content=\"Title\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>Is God Is<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"94\" data-mtr-content=\"Distributor\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>Amazon MGM Studios<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"108\" data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) LOW-END Opening\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$8,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"101\" data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) HIGH-END Opening\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$15,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) PINPOINT Opening Forecast\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\"\/>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total LOW-END\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\"\/>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total HIGH-END\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\"\/>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total PINPOINT Forecast\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\"\/>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Release Date\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>5\/15\/2026<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"195\" data-mtr-content=\"Title\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>Obsession<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"94\" data-mtr-content=\"Distributor\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>Focus Features<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"108\" data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) LOW-END Opening\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$5,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"101\" data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) HIGH-END Opening\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$15,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) PINPOINT Opening Forecast\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\"\/>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total LOW-END\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\"\/>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total HIGH-END\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\"\/>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total PINPOINT Forecast\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\"\/>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Release Date\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>5\/22\/2026<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"195\" data-mtr-content=\"Title\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>The Mandalorian and Grogu<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"94\" data-mtr-content=\"Distributor\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>Disney<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"108\" data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) LOW-END Opening\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<p>$71,000,000<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"101\" data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) HIGH-END Opening\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\"\/>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"3-Day (FSS) PINPOINT Opening Forecast\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<div class=\"mtr-cell-content\"><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\"><a style=\"color: #ff6600;\" href=\"https:\/\/boxofficetheory.substack.com\/p\/box-office-tracking-forecasts-mandalorian-grogu-star-wars-big-screen-memorial-day\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>complete forecasts available on Substack<\/strong><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<\/td>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total LOW-END\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\"\/>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total HIGH-END\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\"\/>\n<td data-mtr-content=\"Domestic Total PINPOINT Forecast\" class=\"mtr-td-tag\">\n<div class=\"mtr-cell-content\"><span style=\"color: #ff6600;\"><a style=\"color: #ff6600;\" href=\"https:\/\/boxofficetheory.substack.com\/p\/box-office-tracking-forecasts-mandalorian-grogu-star-wars-big-screen-memorial-day\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>complete forecasts available on Substack<\/strong><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<article id=\"post-4826\" class=\"post-single-page post-4826 post type-post status-publish format-standard has-post-thumbnail hentry category-tracking-forecasts tag-hit-me-hard-and-soft-the-tour tag-hokum tag-in-the-grey tag-iron-maiden-burning-ambition tag-is-god-is tag-lee-cronins-the-mummy tag-michael tag-michael-jackson tag-mortal-kombat-ii tag-obsession tag-over-your-dead-body tag-that-time-i-got-reincarnated-as-a-slime-the-movie-tears-of-the-azure-sea tag-the-devil-wears-prada-2 tag-the-mandalorian-grogu tag-the-sheep-detectives tag-the-super-mario-galaxy-movie tag-top-gun tag-you-me-tuscany\">\n<div class=\"article-inner\">\n<div class=\"article-body-container\">\n<div class=\"entry-content wd-entry-content\">\n<article id=\"post-4802\" class=\"post-single-page post-4802 post type-post status-publish format-standard has-post-thumbnail hentry category-tracking-forecasts tag-animal-farm tag-hit-me-hard-and-soft-the-tour tag-hokum tag-iron-maiden-burning-ambition tag-johnny-cage tag-karl-urban tag-lee-cronins-the-mummy tag-michael tag-mortal-kombat-ii tag-over-your-dead-body tag-that-time-i-got-reincarnated-as-a-slime-the-movie-tears-of-the-azure-sea tag-the-devil-wears-prada-2 tag-the-drama tag-the-sheep-detectives tag-the-super-mario-galaxy-movie tag-warner-bros tag-you-me-tuscany\">\n<div class=\"article-inner\">\n<div class=\"article-body-container\">\n<div class=\"entry-content wd-entry-content\">\n<article id=\"post-4783\" class=\"post-single-page post-4783 post type-post status-publish format-standard has-post-thumbnail hentry category-tracking-forecasts tag-20th-century-studios tag-animal-farm tag-anne-hathaway tag-bring-me-the-horizon tag-disney tag-emily-blunt tag-forbidden-fruits tag-lee-cronins-the-mummy tag-meryl-streep tag-michael tag-over-your-dead-body tag-project-hail-mary tag-ready-or-not-2-here-i-come tag-stanley-tucci tag-the-devil-wears-prada-2 tag-the-drama tag-the-mummy-returns tag-you-me-tuscany\">\n<div class=\"article-inner\">\n<div class=\"article-body-container\">\n<div class=\"entry-content wd-entry-content\">\n<p data-pm-slice=\"1 1 []\"><em>All forecasts and tracking ranges are reflective of how the films are trending or expected to trend ahead of release. They are not intended as final forecasts or predictions and are subject to revision at any time based on evolving market conditions and various circumstances factored into our modeling.<\/em><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/article><\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/boxofficetheory.com\/box-office-tracking-forecasts-mandalorian-grogu-star-wars-big-screen-memorial-day\/\">Source link <\/a><br \/>\nSee more https:\/\/theglobaltrack.com\/<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The full version of this report appears in\u00a0Box Office Theory\u2019s Substack newsletter. Key Tracking Factors &amp; Rationale: The Mandalorian &amp; Grogu\u00a0(May 22 \/ Disney &amp; Lucasfilm) After a six-and-a-half-year absence, the\u00a0Star Wars franchise returns to the big screen, following 2019\u2019s Episode IX \u2013 The Rise of Skywalker. The franchise has since encountered some of its [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"googlesitekit_rrm_CAow2JLhCw:productID":"","_gspb_post_css":"","maa_idioma":"","maa_pais":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[28032,28987,4734,5812,23553,23552,8958,6229,14334,12427,2956,26995,10791,5447],"class_list":["post-109121","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ubirata","tag-3day","tag-71m","tag-big","tag-box","tag-grogu","tag-mandalorian","tag-memorial","tag-office","tag-revive","tag-screen","tag-star","tag-theory","tag-wars","tag-weekend"],"blocksy_meta":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.6 (Yoast SEO v27.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Will THE MANDALORIAN &amp; GROGU ($71M+ 3-Day) Help Revive STAR WARS on the Big Screen for Memorial Weekend? \u2013 Box Office Theory - Ubirat\u00e3 Online Not\u00edcias - A realidade ao seu alcance!<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The full version of this report appears in\u00a0Box Office Theory\u2019s Substack newsletter. 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