{"id":116737,"date":"2026-04-27T11:51:09","date_gmt":"2026-04-27T14:51:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/the-stock-market-recently-did-something-witnessed-only-once-before-in-154-years-and-history-is-very-clear-about-what-happens-next\/"},"modified":"2026-04-27T11:51:13","modified_gmt":"2026-04-27T14:51:13","slug":"the-stock-market-recently-did-something-witnessed-only-once-before-in-154-years-and-history-is-very-clear-about-what-happens-next","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/en\/the-stock-market-recently-did-something-witnessed-only-once-before-in-154-years-and-history-is-very-clear-about-what-happens-next\/","title":{"rendered":"The Stock Market Recently Did Something Witnessed Only Once Before in 154 Years &#8212; and History Is Very Clear About What Happens Next."},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<div data-testid=\"article-body\">\n<div class=\"bodyItems-wrapper\">\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START -->The <strong>S&amp;P 500<\/strong> has taken investors on a wild ride over the past few months. The index fluctuated between gains and losses amid turmoil in Iran, and as investors worried about the future revenue potential of artificial intelligence (AI) companies. In recent days, though, these risks have attenuated, prompting the index to soar. The S&amp;P 500 rebounded and even reached new highs &#8212; the index is now heading for a gain of more than 3% for the year.<!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START -->A ceasefire in Iran has increased optimism that a resolution will be reached, and positive comments from AI companies have brought these stocks back into the spotlight.<!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<div class=\"table-container yf-t4vsm6\">\n<table class=\"article-table yf-t4vsm6\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td data-testid=\"cell-0-0\">\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START --><span> <strong><em>Will AI create the world&#8217;s first trillionaire?<\/em><\/strong> Our team just released a report on a little-known company, called an &#8220;Indispensable Monopoly,&#8221; providing the critical technology Nvidia and Intel both need. <\/span><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/api.fool.com\/infotron\/infotrack\/click?apikey=35527423-a535-4519-a07f-20014582e03e&amp;impression=fba03d98-cd4c-4120-b3c6-bbb6982428d9&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fool.com%2Fmms%2Fmark%2Fa-sa-ai-boom-nvidias%3Faid%3D10891%26source%3Disaediica0000073%26ftm_cam%3Dsa-ai-boom%26ftm_veh%3Dtop_incontent_pitch_feed_yahoo%26ftm_pit%3D19155&amp;utm_source=yahoo-host-full&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=article&amp;referring_guid=d5cddd03-6a7e-498d-8490-3a43afca05c9\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Continue \u00bb;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;Continue \u00bb&quot;}\" class=\"link\"><strong>Continue \u00bb<\/strong><\/a> <!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table><\/div>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START -->Still, as the new earnings season unfolds, investors are wondering whether this positive momentum will last or whether the uncertain mood that reigned just a few weeks ago will return. We can turn to a recent stock market movement for some clues. The market recently did something that&#8217;s been witnessed only once before in 154 years, and history is very clear about what happens next.<!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<figure data-testid=\"article-figure-image\" class=\"yf-750ceo\">\n<div class=\"image-container yf-lglytj\" style=\"--max-height: 640px;\">\n<div class=\"image-wrapper yf-lglytj\" style=\"--aspect-ratio: 960 \/ 640; --img-max-width: 960px;\"><\/div>\n<\/div><figcaption class=\"yf-750ceo\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START -->Image source: Getty Images.<!-- HTML_TAG_END -->  <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START -->Before diving in, it&#8217;s key to take a look at what&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/investing\/stock-market\/market-sectors\/information-technology\/ai-stocks\/?utm_source=yahoo-host-full&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=article&amp;referring_guid=d5cddd03-6a7e-498d-8490-3a43afca05c9\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:driven the stock market;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;driven the stock market&quot;}\" class=\"link\">driven the stock market<\/a> over the past few years &#8212; and what&#8217;s represented a risk. As mentioned, AI companies set the pace for the benchmark, with giants such as <strong>Nvidia<\/strong>, <strong>Alphabet<\/strong>, and <strong>Palantir Technologies <\/strong>soaring.<!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START -->These players have been delivering explosive growth thanks to their strengths in AI &#8212; customers have rushed to them for AI products and services since this technology has the potential to drive efficiency and innovation. Investors, seeing this potential, have scooped up shares of companies developing and selling AI as well as companies that may benefit from applying AI to their businesses.<!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START -->All of this helped AI stocks to surge, and since many of these players are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/investing\/stock-market\/market-sectors\/information-technology\/?utm_source=yahoo-host-full&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=article&amp;referring_guid=d5cddd03-6a7e-498d-8490-3a43afca05c9\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:big tech companies;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;big tech companies&quot;}\" class=\"link\">big tech companies<\/a> that are heavily weighted in the S&amp;P 500, the benchmark also advanced.<!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START -->The only problem is that, as a result of this run-up, many stocks reached peak valuations. In fact, the entire index found itself in expensive territory &#8212; and the risk was that these levels were not sustainable. This brings me to the stock market&#8217;s recent move. Earlier this year, stocks reached a valuation level only seen once before over more than 150 years &#8212; the last time was during the dot-com bubble about 26 years ago.<!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<figure data-testid=\"article-figure-image\" class=\"yf-750ceo\">\n<div class=\"image-container yf-lglytj loader\" style=\"--max-height: 441px;\">\n<div class=\"image-wrapper yf-lglytj\" style=\"--aspect-ratio: 720 \/ 441; --img-max-width: 720px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ycharts.com\/indicators\/cyclically_adjusted_pe_ratio\/chart\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP\/\/\/ywAAAAAAQABAAACAUwAOw==\" alt=\"S&amp;P 500 Shiller CAPE Ratio Chart\" loading=\"lazy\" height=\"441\" width=\"720\" class=\"yf-lglytj loader\"\/><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div><figcaption class=\"yf-750ceo\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START --><a href=\"https:\/\/ycharts.com\/indicators\/cyclically_adjusted_pe_ratio\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:S&amp;P 500 Shiller CAPE Ratio;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;S&amp;P 500 Shiller CAPE Ratio&quot;}\" class=\"link\">S&amp;P 500 Shiller CAPE Ratio<\/a> data by <a href=\"https:\/\/ycharts.com\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:YCharts;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;YCharts&quot;}\" class=\"link\">YCharts<\/a><!-- HTML_TAG_END -->  <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START -->We can see this through the S&amp;P 500 Shiller CAPE ratio, which measures stock price and earnings per share over a 10-year period. This allows for fluctuations in the economy, so it presents a pretty accurate picture of a company&#8217;s valuation.<!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p>   <button class=\"secondary-btn fin-size-large readmore-button    rounded   yf-r7dg9i\" data-ylk=\"elm:readmore;itc:1;sec:content-canvas;slk:Story%20Continues\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;readmore&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;Story Continues&quot;}\" aria-label=\"Story Continues\" title=\"Story Continues\"> <span>Story Continues<\/span> <\/button> <\/p>\n<div class=\"read-more-wrapper\" style=\"display: none\" data-testid=\"read-more\">\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START -->The Shiller CAPE ratio peaked in February, and since that time, as stocks slid, valuation has also declined.<!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START -->That said, valuation remains close to these highest levels, so in spite of the declines in stocks in the first quarter, overall, the market remains expensive.<!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START -->Now, let&#8217;s consider what history tells us about the future. A look at the past decade of valuation and stock market performance shows us that every time stocks have dropped from a valuation peak, the market has gone on to gain.<!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<figure data-testid=\"article-figure-image\" class=\"yf-750ceo\">\n<div class=\"image-container yf-lglytj loader\" style=\"--max-height: 456px;\">\n<div class=\"image-wrapper yf-lglytj\" style=\"--aspect-ratio: 720 \/ 456; --img-max-width: 720px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/ycharts.com\/indicators\/cyclically_adjusted_pe_ratio\/chart\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"data:image\/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP\/\/\/ywAAAAAAQABAAACAUwAOw==\" alt=\"S&amp;P 500 Shiller CAPE Ratio Chart\" loading=\"lazy\" height=\"456\" width=\"720\" class=\"yf-lglytj loader\"\/><\/a><\/div>\n<\/div><figcaption class=\"yf-750ceo\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START --><a href=\"https:\/\/ycharts.com\/indicators\/cyclically_adjusted_pe_ratio\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:S&amp;P 500 Shiller CAPE Ratio;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;S&amp;P 500 Shiller CAPE Ratio&quot;}\" class=\"link\">S&amp;P 500 Shiller CAPE Ratio<\/a> data by <a href=\"https:\/\/ycharts.com\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:YCharts;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;YCharts&quot;}\" class=\"link\">YCharts<\/a><!-- HTML_TAG_END -->  <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START -->And these periods of positive momentum have often lasted a couple of years. So history is very clear: As prices become more reasonable, investors scoop up stocks, and the S&amp;P 500 generally enters a new phase of growth.<!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START -->Does this mean that the increase we&#8217;re seeing now could be the start of this trend? Possibly. But there&#8217;s one key element to keep in mind, and this is something that could either drag the index down or limit gains. Though valuation has started to decline, as I said above, stocks today remain much pricier than the average over time &#8212; and pricier than they were following the 2000 valuation peak. So, investors may pick up bargains here and there, but today&#8217;s overall high valuation level may stop them from rushing to buy stocks hand over fist.<!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START -->Regardless of the market&#8217;s next move, here&#8217;s some fantastic news for you right now: History shows us that over time, the S&amp;P 500 always has climbed. And that means the best strategy is to selectively pick up quality stocks when the price is right &#8212; you&#8217;ll find these opportunities during any market environment &#8212; and hold on for the long term.<!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START -->Before you buy stock in S&amp;P 500 Index, consider this:<!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START -->The <em>Motley Fool Stock Advisor<\/em> analyst team just identified what they believe are the\u00a0<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/api.fool.com\/infotron\/infotrack\/click?apikey=35527423-a535-4519-a07f-20014582e03e&amp;impression=956a96ab-8807-4903-a4c8-bc06a91f9c9f&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fool.com%2Fmms%2Fmark%2Fe-sa-bbn-dyn-headline%3Faid%3D11234%26source%3Disaeditxt0001181%26company%3DS%2526P%2520500%2520Index%26ftm_cam%3Dsa-bbn-evergreen%26ftm_veh%3Darticle_pitch_feed_yahoo%26ftm_pit%3D18781&amp;utm_source=yahoo-host-full&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=article&amp;referring_guid=d5cddd03-6a7e-498d-8490-3a43afca05c9\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:10 best stocks;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;10 best stocks&quot;}\" class=\"link\">10 best stocks<\/a><\/strong> for investors to buy now\u2026 and S&amp;P 500 Index wasn\u2019t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.<!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START -->Consider when <strong>Netflix<\/strong> made this list on December 17, 2004&#8230; if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation,\u00a0<strong>you\u2019d have $498,522<\/strong>!* Or when <strong>Nvidia<\/strong> made this list on April 15, 2005&#8230; if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, <strong>you\u2019d have $1,276,807<\/strong>!*<!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START -->Now, it\u2019s worth noting\u00a0<em>Stock Advisor\u2019s<\/em> total average return is 983<span>% \u2014 a market-crushing outperformance compared to 200% for the S&amp;P 500.\u00a0<strong><span>Don&#8217;t miss the latest top 10 list, available with\u00a0<em>Stock Advisor<\/em>, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.<\/span><\/strong><\/span><!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START --><a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/api.fool.com\/infotron\/infotrack\/click?apikey=35527423-a535-4519-a07f-20014582e03e&amp;impression=956a96ab-8807-4903-a4c8-bc06a91f9c9f&amp;url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fool.com%2Fmms%2Fmark%2Fe-sa-bbn-dyn-headline%3Faid%3D11234%26source%3Disaeditxt0001181%26company%3DS%2526P%2520500%2520Index%26ftm_cam%3Dsa-bbn-evergreen%26ftm_pit%3D18781%26ftm_veh%3Darticle_pitch_feed_yahoo%26company%3DS%2526P%2520500%2520Index&amp;utm_source=yahoo-host-full&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=article&amp;referring_guid=d5cddd03-6a7e-498d-8490-3a43afca05c9\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:See the 10 stocks \u00bb;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;See the 10 stocks \u00bb&quot;}\"><strong>See the 10 stocks \u00bb<\/strong><\/a><!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START --><em>*Stock Advisor returns as of April 26, 2026. <\/em><!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START --><em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/author\/20211\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Adria Cimino;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;Adria Cimino&quot;}\" class=\"link\">Adria Cimino<\/a> has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Nvidia, and Palantir Technologies. The Motley Fool has a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/legal\/fool-disclosure-policy\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:disclosure policy;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;disclosure policy&quot;}\" class=\"link\">disclosure policy<\/a>.<\/em><!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<p class=\"yf-1fy9kyt\"><!-- HTML_TAG_START --><a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/investing\/2026\/04\/26\/the-stock-market-recently-did-something-witnessed\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:The Stock Market Recently Did Something Witnessed Only Once Before in 154 Years -- and History Is Very Clear About What Happens Next.;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;The Stock Market Recently Did Something Witnessed Only Once Before in 154 Years -- and History Is Very Clear About What Happens Next.&quot;}\" class=\"link\">The Stock Market Recently Did Something Witnessed Only Once Before in 154 Years &#8212; and History Is Very Clear About What Happens Next.<\/a> was originally published by The Motley Fool<!-- HTML_TAG_END --><\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/markets\/stocks\/articles\/stock-market-recently-did-something-223000425.html\">Source link <\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The S&amp;P 500 has taken investors on a wild ride over the past few months. The index fluctuated between gains and losses amid turmoil in Iran, and as investors worried about the future revenue potential of artificial intelligence (AI) companies. In recent days, though, these risks have attenuated, prompting the index to soar. The S&amp;P [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":116738,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"googlesitekit_rrm_CAow2JLhCw:productID":"","_gspb_post_css":"","maa_idioma":"","maa_pais":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[5589,4441,6832,5417,31525,9430],"class_list":["post-116737","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ubirata","tag-clear","tag-history","tag-market","tag-stock","tag-witnessed","tag-years"],"blocksy_meta":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.6 (Yoast SEO v27.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The Stock Market Recently Did Something Witnessed Only Once Before in 154 Years - and History Is Very Clear About What Happens Next. - Ubirat\u00e3 Online Not\u00edcias - A realidade ao seu alcance!<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The S&amp;P 500 has taken investors on a wild ride over the past few months. 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