{"id":119519,"date":"2026-04-30T10:52:16","date_gmt":"2026-04-30T13:52:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/its-a-mess-with-no-trump-endorsement-in-texas-senate-race-cornyn-and-paxton-are-locked-in-an-expensive-brawl\/"},"modified":"2026-04-30T10:52:18","modified_gmt":"2026-04-30T13:52:18","slug":"its-a-mess-with-no-trump-endorsement-in-texas-senate-race-cornyn-and-paxton-are-locked-in-an-expensive-brawl","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/en\/its-a-mess-with-no-trump-endorsement-in-texas-senate-race-cornyn-and-paxton-are-locked-in-an-expensive-brawl\/","title":{"rendered":"\u2018It\u2019s a mess\u2019: With no Trump endorsement in Texas Senate race, Cornyn and Paxton are locked in an expensive brawl"},"content":{"rendered":"


\n<\/p>\n

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\n Nearly two months ago, President Donald Trump promised he would make an endorsement \u201csoon\u201d in the Republican primary runoff for US Senate in Texas.\n <\/p>\n

\n That endorsement still has not arrived \u2014 and its absence is keeping the race highly competitive.\n <\/p>\n

\n Three people involved in the race said they no longer expected Trump to get involved in the battle between Sen. John Cornyn and Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton. However, they cautioned he could change his mind before the May 26 runoff, keeping both sides on edge in the final weeks.\n <\/p>\n

\n While Democrats haven\u2019t won statewide in Texas since 1994, they have a Senate nominee in state Rep. James Talarico<\/a> who is energizing liberals ahead of the November midterms and raising massive sums<\/a>. Republicans long wanted to avoid a damaging runoff that could make things easier for Talarico, in part by having Trump boost one candidate and pressure the other to back down.\n <\/p>\n

\n Trump was likely to eventually endorse Cornyn<\/a> after he and Paxton advanced from a March 3 primary<\/a>, sources told CNN at the time. However, Trump grew frustrated after Republican operatives leaked his expected plans, the sources said. Trump also fielded calls from some of his most ardent supporters, pushing him not to endorse Cornyn and warning it would be a mistake with his \u201cMake America Great Again\u201d base.\n <\/p>\n

\n Trump met briefly with Paxton after the primary during a gala held at his Mar-a-Lago residence, part of an effort by the state attorney general to head off a Cornyn endorsement. Paxton also publicly offered to consider ending his candidacy if the Senate bypassed the filibuster to pass a Trump-backed overhaul of election requirements, the proposed Save America Act<\/a>.\n <\/p>\n

\n Trump has not said much about the race since then, including whether he still plans to pick between Cornyn and Paxton.\n <\/p>\n

\n The president and some other Republicans have also cooled on Talarico as a formidable Democratic contender amid a deluge of opposition research released after the primary. Trump said in a March 22 post on Truth Social<\/a> that \u201cany human being running against\u201d Talarico could win.\n <\/p>\n

\n A poll<\/a> released Wednesday by the University of Texas suggests Republicans have reason to be concerned about Talarico. He led both Cornyn and Paxton by single digits in hypothetical general-election matchups, though nearly a fifth of voters in each case said they had no opinion yet.\n <\/p>\n

\n Washington Republicans had long hoped a Trump endorsement of Cornyn would effectively end an intraparty fight and allow the GOP to fully focus on Talarico.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cIt\u2019s a mess,\u201d one national Republican strategist said. Speaking on condition of anonymity to assess the race, the strategist blamed a \u201cfailure by multiple entities to do their part.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n Some Cornyn supporters have conceded that Trump is unlikely to save the day for the incumbent. Sen. Steve Daines of Montana, a former chair of Senate Republicans\u2019 campaign arm, said during a Semafor event<\/a> in Washington earlier this month that he \u201cwould be surprised if the president will weigh in on that race.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cStaying neutral, frankly, would be a good thing at the moment,\u201d Daines said.\n <\/p>\n

\n Supporters of each candidate continue making the case for a Trump endorsement.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cThe impact of him staying out of the race, I think, has been unfortunate because now we\u2019ve spent tens and tens of millions of dollars in a competitive US Senate seat in Texas that could\u2019ve otherwise be used for competitive House seats \u2026 against Democrats in the fall,\u201d said US Rep. Nathaniel Moran of Texas, who endorsed Cornyn after the primary.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cI know, talking to donors across Texas, that they are drained of resources because of this race alone, and as a result, you\u2019re going to see the impact, I think, in the election cycle in November because many of the competitive House seats that needed money coming out of Texas won\u2019t happen,\u201d Moran added.\n <\/p>\n

\n
\n <\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture>\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n Cornyn entered the runoff after finishing one point ahead of Paxton in the March 3 primary, beating the expectations of even some Paxton supporters.\n <\/p>\n

\n Still, Cornyn remains in the dire position of a longtime incumbent fighting for his political life. It took tens of millions of dollars in ad spending for Cornyn to get there, an ominous sign for a politician who has been running in statewide elections dating back to 1990.\n <\/p>\n

\n There has been little independent polling of the runoff, with most surveys coming from groups aligned with Democratic groups or Republican candidates. But one pro-Cornyn operative, speaking on the condition of anonymity to characterize their view of the runoff, described the race as very close, calling it a \u201cjump ball\u201d or \u201ccoin toss.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n That would be much different from the blowout that Paxton predicted in his primary night speech, when he suggested he would romp by double digits like he has done in two previous statewide runoffs.\n <\/p>\n

\n In his own speech after the primary, Cornyn raised expectations for an all-out offensive against Paxton in the runoff, saying, \u201cJudgment Day is coming.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n Cornyn and his allies have continued to savage Paxton with ads<\/a> citing the fact his wife, Texas state Sen. Angela Paxton, filed for divorce last year and accused him of adultery. Paxton has denied the allegation, and during the primary, he ran ads featuring other members of his family.\n <\/p>\n

\n But the runoff has been a quieter fight so far. After the primary saw $100 million in ad spending, the runoff tally was just $5.7 million in ad spending as of Wednesday, almost all of it from Cornyn and allied groups, according to AdImpact. The air war is expected to intensify in the coming days.\n <\/p>\n

\n
\n \"Texas<\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture>\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n Paxton continues to receive credit, even from some people aligned with Cornyn, for preventing what appeared to be an imminent endorsement of Cornyn after the primary. A day after Trump teased an imminent endorsement \u2013 The Atlantic<\/a> and then Axios<\/a> reported he was set to back Cornyn \u2013 Paxton announced<\/a> he would consider ending his candidacy if Senate Republicans eliminated the filibuster to pass the Save America Act.\n <\/p>\n

\n Six days later, Cornyn announced<\/a> he would support \u201cwhatever changes to Senate rules that may prove necessary\u201d to pass the legislation.\n <\/p>\n

\n The deadline for candidates to formally drop out of the runoff came and went without Trump making an endorsement. Afterward, Trump said in a Fox News interview that he still wanted to issue an endorsement, \u201cbut the main thing I have to do is find out who\u2019s going to get the Save America Act approved.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n Rep. Brandon Gill of Texas said Paxton\u2019s push on the Save America Act was the \u201ccatalyst\u201d for Gill dropping his neutrality and backing Paxton following the primary.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cWe don\u2019t need a senator representing Texas, of all places, who has to be dragged to the right in the middle of a contested Republican primary to get him to do the right thing,\u201d Gill said.\n <\/p>\n

\n Paxton\u2019s campaign and super PAC remain significantly underfunded compared with Cornyn\u2019s side. When it appeared Paxton was about to receive major outside support earlier this month \u2013 from a super PAC aligned with the cryptocurrency industry \u2013 senior GOP officials intervened publicly.\n <\/p>\n

\n Both Chris LaCivita, a top Trump adviser working for a pro-Cornyn super PAC, and the National Republican Senatorial Committee criticized the initial plans by the Fellowship PAC to spend almost $2 million on pro-Paxton ads. The group has not responded to requests for comment but amended a filing with the Federal Election Commission to scrub the pro-Paxton ad buy.\n <\/p>\n

\n Paxton also has been angling for an endorsement from Rep. Wesley Hunt, the third-place primary finisher in the March primary with 14 percent of the vote. But Hunt told Fox News on Friday<\/a> that he had no current plans to get involved, saying he was \u201cfollowing the lead of the president.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n Hunt\u2019s comments frustrated some in Paxton\u2019s world. Hours after the interview aired, a longtime Paxton aide reposted another Paxton supporter who said Hunt \u201clacks the courage to do what he knows is right.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n Publicly, Paxton has voiced confidence.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cI\u2019m very optimistic. In Texas, runoffs tend to favor the most conservative person,\u201d Paxton said last month at the Conservative Political Action Conference near Dallas, a Trump-friendly gathering that Cornyn skipped.\n <\/p>\n

\n As for fundraising, Paxton told the crowd of activists: \u201cWe\u2019re going to raise more money this time. He\u2019s not going to outspend me 20 to 1.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n
\n \"Texas<\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture>\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n Both have rolled out new rounds of endorsements as the specter of a Trump endorsement has appeared to fade. Still, the state\u2019s highest-ranking leaders \u2013 Gov. Greg Abbott, Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick and Sen. Ted Cruz \u2013 have continued to stay neutral.\n <\/p>\n

\n Patrick, a close Trump ally who chairs his Presidential Religious Liberty Commission, used a recent speech in Austin<\/a> to lament the \u201cnasty race\u201d and call on each candidate to endorse the other if they do not win. Both candidates have promised, with little enthusiasm, to support the eventual GOP nominee.\n <\/p>\n

\n Talarico, meanwhile, has been focused on replenishing his campaign coffers after a competitive primary against Rep. Jasmine Crockett and reaching out to Black voters who supported her. Crockett has not endorsed Talarico so far, while former Rep. Colin Allred \u2013 who feuded with Talarico during the primary \u2013 has backed him.\n <\/p>\n

\n Talarico raised a record-breaking $27 million in the first quarter. Talarico\u2019s campaign finance report showed he spent nearly as much over the period, ending March with $9.9 million cash on hand compared with Cornyn\u2019s $8.2 million and Paxton\u2019s $2.6 million.\n <\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n


\n
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