{"id":119735,"date":"2026-04-30T16:18:12","date_gmt":"2026-04-30T19:18:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran\/"},"modified":"2026-04-30T16:18:15","modified_gmt":"2026-04-30T19:18:15","slug":"analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/en\/analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran\/","title":{"rendered":"Analysis: Trump is betting his blockade will defy history and break Iran"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/p>\n

\n

\n President Donald Trump\u2019s maritime blockade<\/a> is the latest attempt to test a thus far unproven theory of the Iran war \u2014 that superior US might will inevitably break the Islamic Republic.\n <\/p>\n

\n The strategy is based on a simple premise: The strangulation of Iran\u2019s oil exports and the imports that sustain regular life there will trigger societal collapse. This will build unbearable pressure on the regime to bow to US demands to permanently renounce its nuclear program.\n <\/p>\n

\n In Washington, this seems logical. Every nation, whether a radical theocracy or Western democracy, will crumble if it can\u2019t assure access to the basics \u2014 food, energy and work. When US officials see soaring inflation, catastrophic job losses and shortages in Tehran, they conclude the two-week blockade is working.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cThe blockade is genius, OK?\u201d Trump said Wednesday. \u201cTheir economy is in real trouble. It\u2019s a dead economy.\u201d The president is so pleased with the plan that he\u2019s steeled aides for it to last much longer, CNN reported.\n <\/p>\n

\n One reason is that it\u2019s a way of heaping pressure on Iran without risking US casualties with ground operations or resuming bombing that was relentless but inconclusive. Another is that it seeks to restore US leverage in economic warfare eroded when Iran set off a global crisis by closing the Strait of Hormuz<\/a>.\n <\/p>\n

\n
\n <\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture>\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n The US economy is far mightier than Iran\u2019s, so this should be no contest. Then again, a fearsome US-Israel air assault devastated Iran\u2019s military, but wasn\u2019t able to secure a strategic victory in the war.\n <\/p>\n

\n Trump\u2019s bullishness will confront two questions that will decide the fate of his latest strategy in a war that has often seemed to lack a rationale or endgame.\n <\/p>\n

\n The first is how long Trump, his fellow Republicans and the American people can take the rising costs of the war, including $4-plus gasoline<\/a> and a likely rise in inflation. Midterm election voters are already angry at high costs and Trump\u2019s economy.\n <\/p>\n

\n The second question is whether the plan is based on realistic intelligence about conditions in Iran and sound reasoning on how its leaders might react. There is, after all, a long and dubious tendency in Washington to apply American logic to Middle Eastern societies that don\u2019t react as US presidents expect.\n <\/p>\n

\n The president is betting that Iran\u2019s leaders, in a radical Islamic theocracy with a record of inflicting extraordinary pain on its own people, will react purely on economic motives \u2014 as perhaps he might in their shoes.\n <\/p>\n

\n
\n \"Gas<\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture>\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n \"A<\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture>\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n There is growing evidence that Iran\u2019s economy is in terrible trouble. The Wall Street Journal<\/a> reported Wednesday that the war\u2019s costs include a million unemployed; soaring food prices; and an internet shutdown that has stifled the online economy. Inflation is rampant and staples like red meat are unaffordable. Middle Eastern media reports warn of growing shortages and threats to food security.\n <\/p>\n

\n Iran\u2019s Oil Minister Mohsen Paknejad warned the public on Wednesday to cut consumption of energy<\/a>. And government offices have been ordered to cut electricity use by 70% after 1 p.m.\n <\/p>\n

\n CNN\u2019s White House team reported that US officials are reading intelligence that predicts the Iranian economy can only survive for a few weeks, if not days, according to two sources. And Trump repeatedly claims Iran\u2019s inability to export oil means it will have to halt production and risk huge damage to oil wells that could take years to fix.\n <\/p>\n

\n Alex Vatanka, a senior fellow at the Middle East Institute, argued the blockade could wreak severe economic pain that could translate into uncontrollable political opposition.\n <\/p>\n

\n But he added a critical caveat: This could take months.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cThe first thing to remember is that we\u2019ve never been here before; this is uncharted territory,\u201d Vatanka said. \u201cThe blockade is nothing Iran\u2019s ever experienced, not even during the Iran-Iraq war.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n
\n \"The<\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture>\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n Vatanka said he could foresee a time when millions of workers would potentially come onto the streets and demand relief. \u201cThat is where the regime will be tested in ways it hasn\u2019t been tested before \u2014 it doesn\u2019t mean it can\u2019t prevail, relying on repression. \u2026 But it\u2019s going to be a question of whether they can overcome the volume of anger.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n Vatanka warned, however, that the potential for economic collapse to spark political change would rely on a level of organization in anti-regime protests and regime defections that are yet to materialize in Iran.\n <\/p>\n

\n Trump might not have time to wait for the counter-revolution. His approval ratings are at historic lows and Republicans fear losing the House and facing an uphill fight to cling onto the Senate in November. The longer the war goes on and Iran keeps the Strait of Hormuz closed, the greater the damage in the US.\n <\/p>\n

\n Trump\u2019s personal psychology may also play a role. He seems fixated on his legacy<\/a> as he dreams of grand architectural works in his last 1,000 days in office. Nothing would be more shameful for a man who sees himself as one of life\u2019s ultimate winners as being branded a loser in a war with Iran.\n <\/p>\n

\n One day, Trump may not TACO<\/a>.\n <\/p>\n

\n
\n \"President<\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture>\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n Yet even if Trump vows to go long, there\u2019s always a chance that the blockade strategy is simply flawed.\n <\/p>\n

\n If the killing of Iran\u2019s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei didn\u2019t cause Iran to quit and weeks of relentless bombing didn\u2019t break the resolve of its leaders, is there reason to think an economic crisis might?\n <\/p>\n

\n The Islamic Republic\u2019s persistence and stubbornness have become legendary.\n <\/p>\n

\n Iran has labored under Western sanctions for decades. It endured a horrendous eight-year war with an estimated 1 million casualties against Iraq in the 1980s. Every time protesters threatened to reach a critical mass, the regime sent its thugs on the streets to massacre civilians to save the revolution.\n <\/p>\n

\n The regime\u2019s entire ethos in the 47 years since the Islamic Revolution has been resistance to the US \u201cGreat Satan.\u201d It might choose societal collapse over caving into Trump.\n <\/p>\n

\n
\n \"Iranian<\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture>\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
\n \"People<\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture>\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n Trita Parsi, executive vice president of the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft, said that Trump\u2019s team was the latest US administration to believe, wrongly, that a pressure campaign could force Iran to give in.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cThere is that constant search for that silver bullet, that one point of pressure that causes the Iranians to either collapse, capitulate or just mend themselves to America\u2019s wishes,\u201d Parsi said. \u201cAnd almost every time the US goes down that path, it ends up disappointing itself.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n Trump\u2019s confidence also reflects another familiar Washington trend \u2014 a never-reconciled belief, especially prevalent among conservatives, that the Iranian economy and regime is perpetually about to collapse.\n <\/p>\n

\n \u201cThey have to cry uncle, that\u2019s all they have to do. Just say, \u2018We give up, we give up,\u2019\u201d the president said in the Oval Office on Wednesday.\n <\/p>\n

\n If Iran does so, Trump could break a futile cycle of history and finally end America\u2019s near half-century duel with a bitter enemy.\n <\/p>\n

\n If it fails, he will only have proved yet again that the Islamic Republic\u2019s willingness to take punch after punch can neuter far greater American power.\n <\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n

Source link <\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

President Donald Trump\u2019s maritime blockade is the latest attempt to test a thus far unproven theory of the Iran war \u2014 that superior US might will inevitably break the Islamic Republic. The strategy is based on a simple premise: The strangulation of Iran\u2019s oil exports and the imports that sustain regular life there will trigger […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":119736,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"googlesitekit_rrm_CAow2JLhCw:productID":"","maa_idioma":"","maa_pais":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[6947,4742,27846,3429,27167,4441,7054,1603],"class_list":["post-119735","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ubirata","tag-analysis","tag-betting","tag-blockade","tag-break","tag-defy","tag-history","tag-iran","tag-trump"],"blocksy_meta":[],"yoast_head":"\nAnalysis: Trump is betting his blockade will defy history and break Iran - Ubirat\u00e3 Online Not\u00edcias - A realidade ao seu alcance!<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"President Donald Trump\u2019s maritime blockade is the latest attempt to test a thus far unproven theory of the Iran war \u2014 that superior US might will\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/en\/analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Analysis: Trump is betting his blockade will defy history and break Iran\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"President Donald Trump\u2019s maritime blockade is the latest attempt to test a thus far unproven theory of the Iran war \u2014 that superior US might will\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/en\/analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Ubirat\u00e3 Online Not\u00edcias - A realidade ao seu alcance!\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/portalubirataonline\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-04-30T19:18:12+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2026-04-30T19:18:15+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Analysis-Trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and.JPG\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"800\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"450\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"ubirataonline\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@ubirataonline\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@ubirataonline\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"ubirataonline\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"6 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"NewsArticle\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ubirataonline.com.br\\\/analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ubirataonline.com.br\\\/analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"ubirataonline\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ubirataonline.com.br\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/372f87bbd3fdd79b8556b84c98d0bc1c\"},\"headline\":\"Analysis: Trump is betting his blockade will defy history and break Iran\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-04-30T19:18:12+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-04-30T19:18:15+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ubirataonline.com.br\\\/analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":1204,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ubirataonline.com.br\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ubirataonline.com.br\\\/analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ubirataonline.com.br\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/04\\\/Analysis-Trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and.JPG\",\"keywords\":[\"Analysis\",\"betting\",\"Blockade\",\"break\",\"defy\",\"history\",\"Iran\",\"Trump\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Ubirat\u00e3\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"copyrightYear\":\"2026\",\"copyrightHolder\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ubirataonline.com.br\\\/en\\\/#organization\"}},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ubirataonline.com.br\\\/analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ubirataonline.com.br\\\/analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran\\\/\",\"name\":\"Analysis: Trump is betting his blockade will defy history and break Iran - Ubirat\u00e3 Online Not\u00edcias - A realidade ao seu alcance!\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ubirataonline.com.br\\\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ubirataonline.com.br\\\/analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ubirataonline.com.br\\\/analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ubirataonline.com.br\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/04\\\/Analysis-Trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and.JPG\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-04-30T19:18:12+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2026-04-30T19:18:15+00:00\",\"description\":\"President Donald Trump\u2019s maritime blockade is the latest attempt to test a thus far unproven theory of the Iran war \u2014 that superior US might will\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ubirataonline.com.br\\\/analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/ubirataonline.com.br\\\/analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ubirataonline.com.br\\\/analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran\\\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ubirataonline.com.br\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/04\\\/Analysis-Trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and.JPG\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ubirataonline.com.br\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/04\\\/Analysis-Trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and.JPG\",\"width\":800,\"height\":450,\"caption\":\"US Navy\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ubirataonline.com.br\\\/analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"In\u00edcio\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ubirataonline.com.br\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Analysis: Trump is betting his blockade will defy history and break Iran\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ubirataonline.com.br\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ubirataonline.com.br\\\/\",\"name\":\"Ubirat\u00e3 Online Not\u00edcias\",\"description\":\"Not\u00edcias de Ubirat\u00e3, regi\u00e3o, Brasil e mundo, com informa\u00e7\u00e3o atualizada e compromisso com o leitor.\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ubirataonline.com.br\\\/#organization\"},\"alternateName\":\"Ubirat\u00e3 Online\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ubirataonline.com.br\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":[\"Organization\",\"Place\"],\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ubirataonline.com.br\\\/#organization\",\"name\":\"Ubirat\u00e3 Online Not\u00edcias\",\"alternateName\":\"Ubirat\u00e3 Online\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ubirataonline.com.br\\\/\",\"logo\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ubirataonline.com.br\\\/analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran\\\/#local-main-organization-logo\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ubirataonline.com.br\\\/analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran\\\/#local-main-organization-logo\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.facebook.com\\\/portalubirataonline\",\"https:\\\/\\\/x.com\\\/ubirataonline\",\"https:\\\/\\\/mastodon.social\\\/@ubirataonline\",\"https:\\\/\\\/www.facebook.com\\\/groups\\\/311144672285604\",\"https:\\\/\\\/www.facebook.com\\\/UBTAOnline\",\"https:\\\/\\\/www.instagram.com\\\/portalubirataonline\\\/\",\"https:\\\/\\\/twitter.com\\\/ubirataonline\"],\"description\":\"Somos um portal de not\u00edcias independente, criado em 5 de janeiro de 2009, com o objetivo de informar, conectar e valorizar a nossa comunidade de Ubirat\u00e3 e toda aregi\u00e3o. Com conte\u00fado atualizado, confi\u00e1vel e relevante, o Ubirat\u00e3 Online \u00e9 o seu espa\u00e7o para ficar por dentro dos principais acontecimentos locais, regionais, Brasil, Mundo e de interesse geral. Nosso compromisso \u00e9 com a verdade, a transpar\u00eancia e o respeito ao leitor.\",\"legalName\":\"UBIRATA ONLINE NOT\u00cdCIAS\",\"foundingDate\":\"2009-01-05\",\"numberOfEmployees\":{\"@type\":\"QuantitativeValue\",\"minValue\":\"1\",\"maxValue\":\"10\"},\"publishingPrinciples\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ubirataonline.com.br\\\/faq\\\/\",\"address\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ubirataonline.com.br\\\/analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran\\\/#local-main-place-address\"},\"geo\":{\"@type\":\"GeoCoordinates\",\"latitude\":\"-24.5361401\",\"longitude\":\"-52.9921776\"},\"telephone\":[\"+5544998308235\"],\"contactPoint\":{\"@type\":\"ContactPoint\",\"email\":\"contato@ubirataonline.com.br\"},\"openingHoursSpecification\":{\"@type\":\"OpeningHoursSpecification\",\"dayOfWeek\":[\"Monday\",\"Tuesday\",\"Wednesday\",\"Thursday\",\"Friday\",\"Saturday\",\"Sunday\"],\"opens\":\"00:00\",\"closes\":\"23:59\"},\"email\":\"contato@ubirataonline.com.br\",\"vatID\":\"47.621.418\\\/0001-80\"},{\"@type\":\"Person\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ubirataonline.com.br\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/372f87bbd3fdd79b8556b84c98d0bc1c\",\"name\":\"ubirataonline\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ubirataonline.com.br\\\/en\\\/author\\\/ubirataonline\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"PostalAddress\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ubirataonline.com.br\\\/analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran\\\/#local-main-place-address\",\"streetAddress\":\"Rua dos Coqueiros, 104 - Bairro Boa Vista, Rua dos Coqueiros, 104 Bairro Boa Vista\",\"addressLocality\":\"UBIRATA\",\"postalCode\":\"85440-000\",\"addressRegion\":\"PR\",\"addressCountry\":\"BR\"},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ubirataonline.com.br\\\/analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran\\\/#local-main-organization-logo\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ubirataonline.com.br\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/06\\\/logoubirataonline-1.webp\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/ubirataonline.com.br\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/06\\\/logoubirataonline-1.webp\",\"width\":500,\"height\":500,\"caption\":\"Ubirat\u00e3 Online Not\u00edcias\"}]}<\/script>\n<meta name=\"geo.placename\" content=\"UBIRATA\" \/>\n<meta name=\"geo.position\" content=\"-24.5361401;-52.9921776\" \/>\n<meta name=\"geo.region\" content=\"Brazil\" \/>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO Premium plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Analysis: Trump is betting his blockade will defy history and break Iran - Ubirat\u00e3 Online Not\u00edcias - A realidade ao seu alcance!","description":"President Donald Trump\u2019s maritime blockade is the latest attempt to test a thus far unproven theory of the Iran war \u2014 that superior US might will","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/en\/analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Analysis: Trump is betting his blockade will defy history and break Iran","og_description":"President Donald Trump\u2019s maritime blockade is the latest attempt to test a thus far unproven theory of the Iran war \u2014 that superior US might will","og_url":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/en\/analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran\/","og_site_name":"Ubirat\u00e3 Online Not\u00edcias - A realidade ao seu alcance!","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/portalubirataonline","article_published_time":"2026-04-30T19:18:12+00:00","article_modified_time":"2026-04-30T19:18:15+00:00","og_image":[{"width":800,"height":450,"url":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Analysis-Trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and.JPG","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"author":"ubirataonline","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_creator":"@ubirataonline","twitter_site":"@ubirataonline","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"ubirataonline","Est. reading time":"6 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"NewsArticle","@id":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran\/"},"author":{"name":"ubirataonline","@id":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/#\/schema\/person\/372f87bbd3fdd79b8556b84c98d0bc1c"},"headline":"Analysis: Trump is betting his blockade will defy history and break Iran","datePublished":"2026-04-30T19:18:12+00:00","dateModified":"2026-04-30T19:18:15+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran\/"},"wordCount":1204,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Analysis-Trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and.JPG","keywords":["Analysis","betting","Blockade","break","defy","history","Iran","Trump"],"articleSection":["Ubirat\u00e3"],"inLanguage":"en-US","copyrightYear":"2026","copyrightHolder":{"@id":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/en\/#organization"}},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran\/","url":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran\/","name":"Analysis: Trump is betting his blockade will defy history and break Iran - Ubirat\u00e3 Online Not\u00edcias - A realidade ao seu alcance!","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Analysis-Trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and.JPG","datePublished":"2026-04-30T19:18:12+00:00","dateModified":"2026-04-30T19:18:15+00:00","description":"President Donald Trump\u2019s maritime blockade is the latest attempt to test a thus far unproven theory of the Iran war \u2014 that superior US might will","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran\/"]}]},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran\/#primaryimage","url":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Analysis-Trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and.JPG","contentUrl":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Analysis-Trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and.JPG","width":800,"height":450,"caption":"US Navy"},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"In\u00edcio","item":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Analysis: Trump is betting his blockade will defy history and break Iran"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/#website","url":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/","name":"Ubirat\u00e3 Online Not\u00edcias","description":"Not\u00edcias de Ubirat\u00e3, regi\u00e3o, Brasil e mundo, com informa\u00e7\u00e3o atualizada e compromisso com o leitor.","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/#organization"},"alternateName":"Ubirat\u00e3 Online","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":["Organization","Place"],"@id":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/#organization","name":"Ubirat\u00e3 Online Not\u00edcias","alternateName":"Ubirat\u00e3 Online","url":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/","logo":{"@id":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran\/#local-main-organization-logo"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran\/#local-main-organization-logo"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/portalubirataonline","https:\/\/x.com\/ubirataonline","https:\/\/mastodon.social\/@ubirataonline","https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/groups\/311144672285604","https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/UBTAOnline","https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/portalubirataonline\/","https:\/\/twitter.com\/ubirataonline"],"description":"Somos um portal de not\u00edcias independente, criado em 5 de janeiro de 2009, com o objetivo de informar, conectar e valorizar a nossa comunidade de Ubirat\u00e3 e toda aregi\u00e3o. Com conte\u00fado atualizado, confi\u00e1vel e relevante, o Ubirat\u00e3 Online \u00e9 o seu espa\u00e7o para ficar por dentro dos principais acontecimentos locais, regionais, Brasil, Mundo e de interesse geral. Nosso compromisso \u00e9 com a verdade, a transpar\u00eancia e o respeito ao leitor.","legalName":"UBIRATA ONLINE NOT\u00cdCIAS","foundingDate":"2009-01-05","numberOfEmployees":{"@type":"QuantitativeValue","minValue":"1","maxValue":"10"},"publishingPrinciples":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/faq\/","address":{"@id":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran\/#local-main-place-address"},"geo":{"@type":"GeoCoordinates","latitude":"-24.5361401","longitude":"-52.9921776"},"telephone":["+5544998308235"],"contactPoint":{"@type":"ContactPoint","email":"contato@ubirataonline.com.br"},"openingHoursSpecification":{"@type":"OpeningHoursSpecification","dayOfWeek":["Monday","Tuesday","Wednesday","Thursday","Friday","Saturday","Sunday"],"opens":"00:00","closes":"23:59"},"email":"contato@ubirataonline.com.br","vatID":"47.621.418\/0001-80"},{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/#\/schema\/person\/372f87bbd3fdd79b8556b84c98d0bc1c","name":"ubirataonline","url":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/en\/author\/ubirataonline\/"},{"@type":"PostalAddress","@id":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran\/#local-main-place-address","streetAddress":"Rua dos Coqueiros, 104 - Bairro Boa Vista, Rua dos Coqueiros, 104 Bairro Boa Vista","addressLocality":"UBIRATA","postalCode":"85440-000","addressRegion":"PR","addressCountry":"BR"},{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/analysis-trump-is-betting-his-blockade-will-defy-history-and-break-iran\/#local-main-organization-logo","url":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/logoubirataonline-1.webp","contentUrl":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/logoubirataonline-1.webp","width":500,"height":500,"caption":"Ubirat\u00e3 Online Not\u00edcias"}]},"geo.placename":"UBIRATA","geo.position":{"lat":"-24.5361401","long":"-52.9921776"},"geo.region":"Brazil"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119735","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=119735"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/119735\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/119736"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=119735"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=119735"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=119735"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}