{"id":120872,"date":"2026-05-01T22:04:12","date_gmt":"2026-05-02T01:04:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/nolan-gormans-defense-protecting-jordan-walker\/"},"modified":"2026-05-01T22:04:16","modified_gmt":"2026-05-02T01:04:16","slug":"nolan-gormans-defense-protecting-jordan-walker","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/en\/nolan-gormans-defense-protecting-jordan-walker\/","title":{"rendered":"Nolan Gorman\u2019s defense, \u201cprotecting\u201d Jordan Walker"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<div>\n<p class=\"\">In the comments, when discussing <a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/sports.yahoo.com\/mlb\/players\/12024\/\" data-i13n=\"sec:content-canvas;subsec:anchor_text;elm:context_link\" data-ylk=\"slk:Jordan Walker;sec:content-canvas;subsec:anchor_text;elm:context_link;itc:0\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;Jordan Walker&quot;,&quot;ySubModuleName&quot;:&quot;anchor_text&quot;,&quot;yHasCommerce&quot;:false}\">Jordan Walker<\/a>, Memphis Myke wondered if it mattered that Jordan Walker had minimal protection in the lineup, since he\u2019s followed by Nolan Gorman. Who hasn\u2019t really hit at all this year. Gorman does have a surprisingly high number of RBIs though considering his poor hitting thus far. He has 18 RBIs in 29 games. And not that he\u2019d play in 162 games, but that\u2019s 100 RBIs over a full season.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">Breaking news: RBIs don\u2019t tell you how good a hitter is. Also Gorman driving in runs has not a lot to do with protection as it pertains to Jordan Walker. Pitchers don\u2019t see Gorman on deck and see the RBIs and think \u201cwell now I have to pitch to Jordan Walker.\u201d They see the .214 average, the .357 slugging, and the 79 wRC+. You\u2019d rather face him than Jordan Walker.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">I instinctively said that protection is a myth. I read an article years ago on this very site that looked at the performance of the #2 hitters in front of <a class=\"link\" href=\"https:\/\/sports.yahoo.com\/mlb\/players\/6619\/\" data-i13n=\"sec:content-canvas;subsec:anchor_text;elm:context_link\" data-ylk=\"slk:Albert Pujols;sec:content-canvas;subsec:anchor_text;elm:context_link;itc:0\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;Albert Pujols&quot;,&quot;ySubModuleName&quot;:&quot;anchor_text&quot;,&quot;yHasCommerce&quot;:false}\">Albert Pujols<\/a>, and they didn\u2019t really play much differently in that spot than in other parts of the lineup. I could not find that article. I did find an article by <a href=\"https:\/\/tht.fangraphs.com\/pitching-around-batters\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" data-ylk=\"slk:Tom Tango, however, talking about protection.;elm:context_link;itc:0;sec:content-canvas\" data-yga=\"{&quot;yLinkElement&quot;:&quot;context_link&quot;,&quot;yModuleName&quot;:&quot;content-canvas&quot;,&quot;yLinkText&quot;:&quot;Tom Tango, however, talking about protection.&quot;}\" class=\"link\">Tom Tango, however, talking about protection.<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"\">And his conclusions were indeed that pitchers pitched a little differently to hitters if there was a strong hitter behind them versus not. If you have a weak hitter behind you, they will probably pitch around you. Both BB% and K% increase with a weak hitter. Interestingly though, if you actually make contact with the ball, there\u2019s no difference. What he terms a protected hitter is not seeing better pitches to hit. Pitchers still don\u2019t want to give a good hitter a pitch to hit, and it doesn\u2019t matter how good the hitter is behind him.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"content-blockquote\">\n<div class=\"blockquote\">\n<p class=\"\">The entire point of protecting a batter is to improve his offensive output (wOBA) by forcing the opposing pitcher to pitch to him. And indeed, we saw above that opposing pitchers pitch to protected hitters, something that is evidenced by the fewer walks. However, when the ball is put into play, we see no significant difference between how the two sets of hitters perform. The unprotected hitters have a wOBA of .395 (counting only balls that are hit), compared with .391 for protected hitters. The difference of .004 is not statistically significant.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">\u2026..<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">However, what we hoped to find was that, when pitchers pitch around the corners, batters tend to make worse contact (if they make contact at all). And we don\u2019t see this. Instead, we again find that, if walks are ignored, the two types of hitters perform equivalently in wOBA. (The slight increase in strikeouts is compensated by a slight increase in the fraction of balls hit well when contact is made.) In short, we simply cannot find any evidence to suggest that the pitcher\u2019s approach has any significant impact on the batter\u2019s stats, aside from the obvious changes in walks and strikeouts.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p class=\"\">So a couple of interesting takeaways here. The good news is that it doesn\u2019t seem like the hitter behind him matters at all when it comes to contact quality. His batted ball data should not be affected. His overall performance should be the same. But it could also explain the strikeouts and the higher walk rate this season. Again though, pitchers saw what Jordan Walker was doing, and then adjusted the way they pitched to him. This had nothing to do with a weaker hitter behind him. If prime Albert Pujols was behind him, they\u2019d try their best to avoid Walker hitting the ball.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\"><strong>Nolan Gorman\u2019s defense<\/strong><\/p>\n<section class=\"consent\"\/>\n<p class=\"\">In an interesting twist, the early returns on Nolan Gorman\u2019s defense are very, very good. Unsustainably good certainly. But if he\u2019s good on defense at 3B, then he\u2019ll have an MLB job for quite a while, even if it doesn\u2019t end up being on the Cards. A defense-first 3B who once jacked 27 homers? Yeah that guy would get lots of chances. Of course, we don\u2019t know if he\u2019s actually a good defender. Way too small of a sample size.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">But, just to illustrate the importance of him being a good defender, I wanted to present what a +5 defender at 3B looks like with different offensive outcomes. Last year for example, it could have been the yips, but he was -6 OAA in 410 innings. The offensive bar is quite high if your defense is that bad. It would take a lot of faith in Nolan Gorman the hitter that I just don\u2019t think people have.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">But maybe he can reach a much lower bar and maybe if he does reach that, he still has a frustrating way to be an average overall player. Hey these are the kinds of things that we need to find out. Prior to last season, he had a combined 126 innings at 3B in the majors. Then, like I said, I think something mental was going on, because he kept throwing it wildly off, and that\u2019s not been an issue this season. He has pretty much passed the eye test, and certainly it\u2019s obvious how much better he is than last year. It\u2019s not like we\u2019re seeing the same thing and getting wildly different results.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">So I will present a few different outcomes just to illustrate the importance of him actually being good on defense. I\u2019ll show you Gorman as 85 wRC+ hitter, which would be a career low, as a 95 wRC+ hitter, a 105 wRC+ hitter, and just for fun a 120 wRC+ hitter. And we\u2019ll see how each of those hitting lines work with a -5 defender at 3B, a neutral defender at 3B, and a +5 defender at 3B. We\u2019ll start with more or less worst case scenario:<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">85 wRC+, -5 defender = 0.5 WAR (per 600 PAs)<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">95 wRC+, -5 defender = 1.2 WAR<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">105 wRC+, -5 defender = 2 WAR<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">120 wRC+, -5 defender = 3 WAR<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">Not ideal, although I will point out he doesn\u2019t need to be an especially good hitter to still be average here. My faith in Nolan Gorman the batter is not very high, but a 105 wRC+ isn\u2019t crazy to imagine for me. He\u2019s done it twice in his career. That said, not a super appealing profile here. Gorman won\u2019t get 600 PAs if he\u2019s a 105 wRC+ hitter and a bad defender, so he wouldn\u2019t reach 2 WAR. Let\u2019s take the conservative approach, probably what we\u2019re \u201csupposed\u201d to do in this situation, assume an average defender:<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">85 wRC+, 0 defender = 1 WAR<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">95 wRC+, 0 defender = 1.8 WAR<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">105 wRC+, 0 defender = 2.5 WAR<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">120 wRC+, 0 defender = 3.6 WAR<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">Again, remember where Gorman was at last year. I would have for sure taken it if you could guarantee me Gorman was an average defensive 3B. With this version, predictably, his offense dictates how good he is. Below average hitter, he\u2019s more of a bench player. Average or better and he\u2019s a starting caliber player.<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">85 wRC+, +5 defender = 1.6 WAR<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">95 wRC+, +5 defender = 2.3 WAR<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">105 wRC+, +5 defender = 3 WAR<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">120 wRC+, +5 defender = 4.1 WAR<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">And the best case scenario is he\u2019s a genuinely good defender, because even the career low wRC+ is a solid sub, if not necessarily someone you want as your starter. If he gets close to average offensively, he is solidly in above average player territory. And if we combine that with good hitting, then he\u2019s either a great trade candidate or someone you hold onto.<\/p>\n<p>Advertisement<\/p>\n<p class=\"\">My approach to Gorman turned into \u201ctrade him even if he breaks out\u201d because I didn\u2019t trust him to maintain his production. If he\u2019s a good defender, this does change somewhat. He goes from fool\u2019s gold to a high floor guy who might hit 40 homers one year. If I have to bank on him being a good hitter, I\u2019m not a fan. If being a good hitter is just a bonus, then I can roll with that. Doesn\u2019t even matter if it\u2019s unlikely he becomes a good hitter.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/sports.yahoo.com\/articles\/nolan-gorman-defense-protecting-jordan-120000016.html\">Source link <\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In the comments, when discussing Jordan Walker, Memphis Myke wondered if it mattered that Jordan Walker had minimal protection in the lineup, since he\u2019s followed by Nolan Gorman. Who hasn\u2019t really hit at all this year. Gorman does have a surprisingly high number of RBIs though considering his poor hitting thus far. He has 18 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":120873,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"googlesitekit_rrm_CAow2JLhCw:productID":"","_gspb_post_css":"","maa_idioma":"","maa_pais":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[3335,32812,6063,8668,26508,8877],"class_list":["post-120872","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ubirata","tag-defense","tag-gormans","tag-jordan","tag-nolan","tag-protecting","tag-walker"],"blocksy_meta":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.6 (Yoast SEO v27.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Nolan Gorman\u2019s defense, \u201cprotecting\u201d Jordan Walker - Ubirat\u00e3 Online Not\u00edcias - A realidade ao seu alcance!<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"In the comments, when discussing Jordan Walker, Memphis Myke wondered if it mattered that Jordan Walker had minimal protection in the lineup, since he\u2019s\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/en\/nolan-gormans-defense-protecting-jordan-walker\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Nolan Gorman\u2019s defense, \u201cprotecting\u201d Jordan Walker\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"In the comments, when discussing Jordan Walker, Memphis Myke wondered if it mattered that Jordan Walker had minimal protection in the lineup, since he\u2019s\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/en\/nolan-gormans-defense-protecting-jordan-walker\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Ubirat\u00e3 Online Not\u00edcias - 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