{"id":126967,"date":"2026-05-11T14:04:27","date_gmt":"2026-05-11T17:04:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/putin-hints-he-might-end-russias-war-in-ukraine-but-why-now\/"},"modified":"2026-05-11T14:04:29","modified_gmt":"2026-05-11T17:04:29","slug":"putin-hints-he-might-end-russias-war-in-ukraine-but-why-now","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/en\/putin-hints-he-might-end-russias-war-in-ukraine-but-why-now\/","title":{"rendered":"Putin hints he might end Russia\u2019s war in Ukraine. But why now?"},"content":{"rendered":"


\n<\/p>\n

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\n It was an unusual statement to make at a time of acute pressure.\n <\/p>\n

\n Russian President Vladimir Putin used the weekend\u2019s hallowed May 9 Victory Day parades<\/a>, commemorating the Soviet Union\u2019s defeat of Nazi Germany, to utter something remarkable: that he believed the matter of the Ukrainian conflict \u201cwas coming to an end.\u201d This comment, Putin\u2019s first real indication his war of choice might be nudging towards a conclusion, came after a lengthy lament about the failed negotiations at the start of the 2022 invasion, and was extraordinarily brief.\n <\/p>\n

\n Yet this is not a man who speaks casually, or erratically. This is not his possible audience of one: US President Donald Trump. Putin\u2019s rare departure from his normal, unsatisfiable position, may have been designed to sustain the illusion that peace in Ukraine can be brokered soon, which the Kremlin head has long sought to keep alive.\n <\/p>\n

\n Yet all the same, on a day when Moscow was in full military flex, he chose not to sound the maximalist bugle \u2013 that the \u201cspecial military operation\u201d must continue until its goals are met. (Spoiler: Those goals \u2013 demilitarizing Ukraine and taking its eastern Donbas region \u2013 are nowhere near achieved.) Instead, Putin seemed to reflect the prevailing sentiment in Russia, supported by recent opinion polls, that the war needs to end soon.\n <\/p>\n

\n There was another twist to Putin\u2019s surprise gambit: he suggested Gerhard Schr\u00f6der, who was German chancellor from 1998 to 2005 during Putin\u2019s early honeymoon with the West, be the negotiating point man for any future, direct talks with Europe. Schr\u00f6der was chairman of the board of Russia\u2019s Nord Stream gas pipeline project until he resigned upon the 2022 invasion, but has remained close to Putin. He\u2019s been discredited in the eyes of many by that association, and the immediate response to this idea in Europe was reportedly weak, but it may be heard in Washington, DC and further complicate genuine efforts to get peace moving.\n <\/p>\n

\n
\n <\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture>\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n It is easy to view Putin\u2019s new talk of diplomacy through the prism of his past year of stunted, feigned, toying with peace. But the perceived wisdom that Putin\u2019s rule cannot survive anything short of almost total victory in Ukraine has been undermined by the recent widespread criticism across Russia of the war\u2019s conduct, duration and horrific human and economic cost. The whisper is emerging in the Moscow elite that Putin might simply not (politically) survive the war at all.\n <\/p>\n

\n It\u2019s hard to see the parade on Red Square as anything other than a startling humiliation to the literal fortress of the Kremlin. Prior to the event, Ukraine\u2019s President Volodymyr Zelensky issued a \u201cdecree\u201d authorizing it \u2013 stopping his forces striking the area \u2013 a moment of trolling that belies the idea Kyiv feels on the back foot.\n <\/p>\n

\n The absence of Russian military hardware<\/a> from the parade is a stark contrast to the bristling display of force previous years have provided, when Western arms experts would leer at the latest model of tank to note tiny updates. This year, Moscow just had soldiers, and they too are increasingly in short supply.\n <\/p>\n

\n
\n \"Russian<\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture>\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n It\u2019s long been a forlorn \u2013 even fanciful \u2013 European hope that Russia would one day just crumble on Ukraine. Short of real European or NATO military involvement in the war, it became the continent\u2019s sole strategy \u2013 apply pressure and hope Moscow would break before Kyiv. With Trump\u2019s return to the White House last year, Europe had little other choice.\n <\/p>\n

\n The war\u2019s progress has been one of successes and failures for both sides over its four years. Moscow\u2019s initial failures still led to territory being taken and held, then lost. Then its grind-or-die stubbornness led to a slow taking of small parts of the frontline that tore through Ukraine\u2019s limited manpower. Last year, Kyiv seemed on the ropes, lacking resources and the full support of its most important ally, the United States. But the smell around this latest twist in fortunes is different for two reasons.\n <\/p>\n

\n Firstly, Russia\u2019s collapse in morale is palpable. That only occurs in a police state when a critical mass of disenchantment begins to see itself as the majority, and confident enough to raise its head above the parapet. Putin has survived violent criticism of his war before \u2013 when the short-lived coup led by Yevgeny Prigozhin faltered as dramatically as it had begun in 2023.\n <\/p>\n

\n But he is running out of impoverished Russians or convicts to sign up and then lose in poorly planned \u201cmeatgrinder\u201d assaults, and struggling to lure students from the middle classes into the ranks.\n <\/p>\n

\n
\n \"Residents<\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture>\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n The Russian economy is truly feeling the strain now. The elite is apparently irritated enough Putin feels obliged to placate them with the suggestion \u2013 relayed Saturday on state media \u2013 that the war may be coming to a close. A lot can still change, and Russia\u2019s reported amassing of troops along the front line might yet yield progress. But the Kremlin is in trouble.\n <\/p>\n

\n The second change is in the Ukrainians\u2019 fortunes. They too lack soldiers \u2013 perhaps more drastically \u2013 but they have robots aplenty. The almost negligible progress of Russia on the front lines is largely down to Kyiv finding ways to attack, resupply, evacuate and intercept Russian attacks with unmanned vehicles, or drones.\n <\/p>\n

\n It is a truly remarkable feat, the significance of which in modern warfare was highlighted when the wealthy Gulf nations came rushing to Zelensky in March for help to defend their skies from Iranian drones. He truly now has \u201cthe cards\u201d to carry on fighting, after Trump last year said he had none<\/a>.\n <\/p>\n

\n
\n \"A<\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture>\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n Moscow has caught up the technology gap before, often in months, and so Ukraine should heed the Russian metaphor of having \u201cchampagne too early.\u201d\n <\/p>\n

\n But a summer looms where, despite the Iran war starving Ukraine of the global attention it urgently needs, Kyiv remains on its feet, rather than its knees: a story of remarkable survival, against heavily stacked odds, as there has been no other choice.\n <\/p>\n

\n Meanwhile, Putin\u2019s apparent belief that his state resources are endless is slowly emerging as the folly it always was. All wars end, and perhaps Putin has finally seen that.\n <\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n


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