{"id":134812,"date":"2026-05-20T15:20:34","date_gmt":"2026-05-20T18:20:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/reds-vs-phillies-prediction-picks-odds-for-todays-mlb-game\/"},"modified":"2026-05-20T15:20:47","modified_gmt":"2026-05-20T18:20:47","slug":"reds-vs-phillies-prediction-picks-odds-for-todays-mlb-game","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/en\/reds-vs-phillies-prediction-picks-odds-for-todays-mlb-game\/","title":{"rendered":"Reds vs Phillies Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today’s MLB Game"},"content":{"rendered":"

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The Philadelphia Phillies<\/a> seek a seventh straight series win when they play the rubber match of their three-game set with the visiting Cincinnati Reds<\/a> this afternoon.<\/p>\n

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Cincinnati, however, has been mighty comfortable as an underdog in this head-to-head, which is why my Reds vs Phillies predictions<\/strong> and free MLB picks<\/a> are siding with the road team on Wednesday, May 20.<\/p>\n

Who will win Reds vs Phillies today: Reds moneyline (+127)<\/h2>\n

In his most recent outing, Philadelphia Phillies<\/a> starter Aaron Nola<\/a> lasted just 3 2\/3 innings against the Pirates, surrendering six runs on six hits, including two homers. It was the third time in five starts he\u2019s allowed at least five earned.<\/p>\n

His\u00a0stuff simply isn’t playing anymore<\/a>, and his barrel and hard-hit rates rank in the 31st and 37th percentiles<\/strong>, respectively.<\/p>\n

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Meanwhile, Cincinnati Reds<\/a> starter Andrew Abbott<\/a> has allowed one earned run in his last three starts, rocking a microscopic 0.54 ERA in May<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Coupled with the Reds\u2019 offense in the last two weeks (Top 8 in runs, average, on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS<\/strong>) and a 3-1 record against the Phillies as an underdog in the last four, it’s their series to take, and I’ll take this plus-money pricetag against a scuffling Nola any chance I get.<\/p>\n

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COVERS INTEL:<\/strong><\/p>\n

Nathaniel Lowe<\/a> sat out Tuesday’s win, but the DH will surely be in the lineup against Nola, whom he\u2019s owned in a small sample, going 4-for-7 with a home run.<\/p>\n

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Reds vs Phillies Over\/Under pick: Under 8.5 (+104)<\/h2>\n

The last seven meetings between the Reds and Phillies have produced an Under record of 6-0-1, with only one matchup touching a combined nine runs.<\/p>\n

The Phillies have been an Under machine, going 8-1-0 in their last nine overall. They rank just 20th in scoring<\/strong>, and neither team has lit the world on fire, boasting identical below-average<\/a> wRC+ ratings of 93<\/strong> (tied for 21st in MLB).<\/p>\n

With Abbott in a groove and Nola struggling, it\u2019s shaping up for the Reds to carry this to victory, but falling Under the 8.5-run line.<\/p>\n

Eric Rosales’ 2026 Transparency Record<\/strong><\/p>\n