{"id":143707,"date":"2026-06-03T08:42:10","date_gmt":"2026-06-03T11:42:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/why-trumps-cratering-poll-numbers-are-so-remarkable\/"},"modified":"2026-06-03T08:42:43","modified_gmt":"2026-06-03T11:42:43","slug":"why-trumps-cratering-poll-numbers-are-so-remarkable","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/en\/why-trumps-cratering-poll-numbers-are-so-remarkable\/","title":{"rendered":"Why Trump’s cratering poll numbers are so remarkable"},"content":{"rendered":"

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President Donald Trump\u2019s approval numbers<\/a> have been in a prolonged slump in a way that we haven\u2019t seen in his second term. According to The New York Times\u2019 national polling average<\/a> on Monday, 38% of Americans approve and 58% disapprove of his performance. He hasn\u2019t broken a 40% average approval since late April. The overall figures are bad, clearly, and though Trump has had runs of horrific polling before and bounced back, there are reasons to believe he\u2019ll have a harder time recovering this time.<\/p>\n

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Trump\u2019s cratering poll numbers are remarkable in part because they challenge a consensus about how low any politician\u2019s numbers can rise or fall in this political climate.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/figure>\n

Trump has been able to shrug off bad polling in the past because the supposed floor his MAGA base represents keeps him from dipping below a certain point. But approval numbers this far underwater suggest Trump\u2019s floor is collapsing. The Washington Post noted last week that a growing number of white voters without college degrees<\/a> disapprove of Trump\u2019s performance. Meanwhile, young and nonwhite voters who swung right in the 2024 election have jumped back to the left<\/a>. And independents\u2019 support has only crawled downward compared to when Trump\u2019s term began.<\/p>\n

GOP voters shifting away from Trump is bad enough for Republicans hoping to win in November. But the collapse of the coalition that sent Trump to office makes things all the worse.<\/p>\n

Trump\u2019s cratering poll numbers are remarkable in part because they challenge a consensus about how low any politician\u2019s numbers can rise or fall in this political climate. As Brandon Rottinghaus, a professor of political science at the University of Houston, told the Los Angeles Times<\/a> for its Sunday story about Trump\u2019s plummeting poll numbers, \u201cPolarization has raised the floor and lowered the ceiling for approval ratings.\u201d <\/p>\n

\u201cDramatic swings are less common because approval ratings are now fixed to partisanship,\u201d Rottinghaus said. \u201cApproval ratings today are increasingly a measure of who the president is rather than what the president does.\u201d<\/p>\n

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