{"id":84190,"date":"2026-02-02T13:39:30","date_gmt":"2026-02-02T16:39:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/que-vio-la-marmota-esta-fue-la-prediccion-invernal-de-phil-de-punxsutawney\/"},"modified":"2026-02-02T13:39:32","modified_gmt":"2026-02-02T16:39:32","slug":"que-vio-la-marmota-esta-fue-la-prediccion-invernal-de-phil-de-punxsutawney","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/en\/que-vio-la-marmota-esta-fue-la-prediccion-invernal-de-phil-de-punxsutawney\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00bfQu\u00e9 vio la marmota? Esta fue la predicci\u00f3n invernal de Phil de Punxsutawney"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<div data-editable=\"content\" itemprop=\"articleBody\" data-reorderable=\"content\">\n<p>\n    <cite class=\"source__cite vossi-source__cite\"><br \/>\n      <span class=\"source__location vossi-source__location\" data-editable=\"location\"\/><br \/>\n      <span class=\"source__text\" data-editable=\"source\">CNN<\/span><br \/>\n        \u00a0\u2014\u00a0<br \/>\n    <\/cite>\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"es.cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cml567s1d004q26me4uhe8gxz@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Phil de Punxsutawney, la marmota icono de la predicci\u00f3n del clima, vio su sombra cuando la sacaron de su c\u00e1lida madriguera y la lanzaron al aire g\u00e9lido este lunes por la ma\u00f1ana. Seg\u00fan Phil, eso significa que nos esperan seis semanas m\u00e1s de invierno.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"es.cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cml56b2ff00053b6pe14kl4l4@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Cada a\u00f1o, el 2 de febrero, el D\u00eda de la Marmota, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.noaa.gov\/heritage\/stories\/grading-groundhogs\" target=\"_blank\">roedores de todo Estados Unidos<\/a> intentan realizar pron\u00f3sticos meteorol\u00f3gicos a largo plazo.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"es.cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cml56b2ff00063b6psbgadway@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Phil es el pronosticador m\u00e1s famoso del grupo y vive en Punxsutawney, Pensilvania. Cuenta la leyenda que, si ve su sombra, se avecinan seis semanas m\u00e1s de invierno. Si no, llega la primavera temprana.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"es.cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cml56b2ff00073b6pqizojlft@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            En realidad, el invierno astron\u00f3mico terminar\u00e1 en el equinoccio de primavera, el 20 de marzo a las 10:46 a.m., hora de Miami, independientemente del pron\u00f3stico del lunes. Pero las condiciones meteorol\u00f3gicas no siempre siguen el calendario, y Phil tampoco lo sigue.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"es.cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cml56b2fg00093b6pxxnnnefe@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Phil ha pronosticado el tiempo desde finales del siglo XIX; se dice que siempre ha habido un Phil. Dejaremos que t\u00fa hagas los c\u00e1lculos.\n    <\/p>\n<div data-uri=\"es.cms.cnn.com\/_components\/image\/instances\/cml56bdgt000d3b6petuvf0r8@published\" class=\"image image__hide-placeholder\" data-image-variation=\"image\" data-name=\"gettyimages-515322604.jpg\" data-component-name=\"image\" data-observe-resizes=\"\" data-breakpoints=\"{\" image--eq-extra-small=\"\" data-original-ratio=\"0.6627906976744186\" data-original-height=\"570\" data-original-width=\"860\" data-url=\"https:\/\/media.cnn.com\/api\/v1\/images\/stellar\/prod\/gettyimages-515322604-20260202131325095.jpg?c=original\" data-editable=\"settings\">\n<div class=\"image__container\" data-image-variation=\"image\" data-breakpoints=\"{\" image--eq-extra-small=\"\">\n       <picture class=\"image__picture\"><source height=\"570\" width=\"860\" media=\"(max-width: 479px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.cnn.com\/api\/v1\/images\/stellar\/prod\/gettyimages-515322604-20260202131325095.jpg?q=w_680,c_fill\/f_webp\" type=\"image\/webp\"><source height=\"570\" width=\"860\" media=\"(min-width: 480px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.cnn.com\/api\/v1\/images\/stellar\/prod\/gettyimages-515322604-20260202131325095.jpg?q=w_1160,c_fill\/f_webp\" type=\"image\/webp\"><source height=\"570\" width=\"860\" media=\"(min-width: 960px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.cnn.com\/api\/v1\/images\/stellar\/prod\/gettyimages-515322604-20260202131325095.jpg?q=w_1015,c_fill\/f_webp\" type=\"image\/webp\"><source height=\"570\" width=\"860\" media=\"(min-width: 1280px)\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.cnn.com\/api\/v1\/images\/stellar\/prod\/gettyimages-515322604-20260202131325095.jpg?q=w_1110,c_fill\/f_webp\" type=\"image\/webp\"><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/source><\/picture>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"es.cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cml5685se00003b6pj4m7az58@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            A pesar de ser supuestamente el pronosticador m\u00e1s experimentado del mundo, las predicciones recientes de Phil tendr\u00edan un menor margen de error si simplemente lanzara una moneda: solo ha acertado <a href=\"https:\/\/www.noaa.gov\/heritage\/stories\/grading-groundhogs\" target=\"_blank\">alrededor del 3 5%<\/a> de las veces en las \u00faltimas dos d\u00e9cadas, seg\u00fan datos analizados por la Administraci\u00f3n Nacional Oce\u00e1nica y Atmosf\u00e9rica de EE.UU. (NOAA, por sus siglas en ingl\u00e9s).\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"es.cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cml56bi5c000i3b6pvwq7g74p@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            El a\u00f1o pasado, la petici\u00f3n de Phil de seis semanas m\u00e1s de invierno fracas\u00f3. Las temperaturas en febrero de 2025 se mantuvieron cerca de lo normal, a pesar de algunos episodios de fr\u00edo intenso, pero marzo fue el sexto mes m\u00e1s c\u00e1lido registrado en el pa\u00eds, seg\u00fan <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ncei.noaa.gov\/access\/monitoring\/climate-at-a-glance\/national\/time-series\/110\/tavg\/1\/3\/1895-2025\" target=\"_blank\">datos de la NOAA<\/a>.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"es.cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cml56bi5c000k3b6ped54mnrx@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Sin embargo, hay expertos m\u00e1s consistentes a los que recurrir cuando Phil flaquea.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"es.cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cml56bi5c000l3b6pq6lw22lv@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Los meteor\u00f3logos del Centro de Predicciones Clim\u00e1ticas del Servicio Meteorol\u00f3gico Nacional producen pron\u00f3sticos de temperaturas y precipitaciones en todo Estados Unidos en escalas de tiempo que van desde una semana a m\u00e1s de un a\u00f1o.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"es.cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cml56bfo9000g3b6pm8i6x18h@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Las perspectivas para febrero son un tanto contradictorias: se esperan condiciones m\u00e1s fr\u00edas de lo normal en gran parte del este. Se esperan condiciones m\u00e1s c\u00e1lidas de lo normal, una \u201cprimavera temprana\u201d, en el oeste y las Llanuras del sur.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"es.cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cml56bvfz000q3b6pch6v43w7@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Pero los pron\u00f3sticos a largo plazo son notoriamente complejos, incluso con herramientas de predicci\u00f3n, y el resto del pa\u00eds es una moneda al aire, con probabilidades aproximadamente iguales de temperaturas superiores, inferiores y cercanas a lo normal.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"es.cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cml56bvfz000r3b6p3dlaa9zf@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            El invierno en Estados Unidos hasta ahora este a\u00f1o ha tenido dos escenarios muy distintos.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"es.cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cml56bvfz000s3b6pi18rbzlh@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Al este de las Monta\u00f1as Rocosas, la sensaci\u00f3n t\u00e9rmica es pr\u00e1cticamente invernal, con oleadas de fr\u00edo extremo que azotan la mitad oriental de Estados Unidos. Varias localidades de los Grandes Lagos, el noreste y el Atl\u00e1ntico medio est\u00e1n experimentando uno de sus 10 inviernos m\u00e1s fr\u00edos hasta la fecha, seg\u00fan datos de la NOAA.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"es.cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cml56bvfz000t3b6p1bpcosse@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            En ocasiones, el fr\u00edo ha sido mortal. Tambi\u00e9n aliment\u00f3 una hist\u00f3rica tormenta invernal que trajo hielo catastr\u00f3fico a partes del sur y sepult\u00f3 muchos estados del norte.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"es.cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cml56bs2o000o3b6pidzqfnzd@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Pero el invierno no se encuentra en ning\u00fan lugar desde las Monta\u00f1as Rocosas hasta la costa oeste: casi 150 lugares, incluidos Phoenix y Las Vegas, est\u00e1n teniendo su invierno m\u00e1s c\u00e1lido hasta la fecha.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"es.cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cml56cdcl000z3b6pnovo39iw@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Los inviernos m\u00e1s c\u00e1lidos no son una casualidad, incluso cuando se ven interrumpidos por un fr\u00edo apropiado para la \u00e9poca. El invierno se ha convertido en la estaci\u00f3n de mayor calentamiento en casi el 75 % de EE.UU., a medida que las temperaturas suben globalmente en un contexto de calentamiento global debido a la contaminaci\u00f3n por combustibles f\u00f3siles.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"es.cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cml56cdcl00103b6p1e2i2cvd@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            En un mundo en calentamiento a\u00fan pueden producirse episodios de fr\u00edo brutal y tormentas invernales extremas, pero son la excepci\u00f3n, no la norma.\n    <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph inline-placeholder vossi-paragraph\" data-uri=\"es.cms.cnn.com\/_components\/paragraph\/instances\/cml56cdcl00113b6pv6k4fu3z@published\" data-editable=\"text\" data-component-name=\"paragraph\" data-article-gutter=\"true\">\n            Teniendo en cuenta eso, la predicci\u00f3n de Phil de seis semanas m\u00e1s de invierno no es una buena apuesta.\n    <\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/cnnespanol.cnn.com\/2026\/02\/02\/clima-y-tiempo\/dia-marmota-prediccion-invernal-phil-trax\">Source link <\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>CNN \u00a0\u2014\u00a0 Phil de Punxsutawney, la marmota icono de la predicci\u00f3n del clima, vio su sombra cuando la sacaron de su c\u00e1lida madriguera y la lanzaron al aire g\u00e9lido este lunes por la ma\u00f1ana. Seg\u00fan Phil, eso significa que nos esperan seis semanas m\u00e1s de invierno. Cada a\u00f1o, el 2 de febrero, el D\u00eda de [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":84191,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"googlesitekit_rrm_CAow2JLhCw:productID":"","_gspb_post_css":"","maa_idioma":"","maa_pais":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[3027,17004,17006,17003,6139,17005,17007,4164,17002],"class_list":["post-84190","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-brasil","tag-esta","tag-fue","tag-invernal","tag-marmota","tag-phil","tag-prediccion","tag-punxsutawney","tag-que","tag-vio"],"blocksy_meta":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.6 (Yoast SEO v27.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>\u00bfQu\u00e9 vio la marmota? 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