{"id":86123,"date":"2026-02-10T18:10:19","date_gmt":"2026-02-10T21:10:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/premier-league-title-race-tracker-remaining-schedules-predicted-points-as-arsenal-aim-to-hold-first-place\/"},"modified":"2026-02-10T18:10:30","modified_gmt":"2026-02-10T21:10:30","slug":"premier-league-title-race-tracker-remaining-schedules-predicted-points-as-arsenal-aim-to-hold-first-place","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/en\/premier-league-title-race-tracker-remaining-schedules-predicted-points-as-arsenal-aim-to-hold-first-place\/","title":{"rendered":"Premier League title race tracker: Remaining schedules, predicted points as Arsenal aim to hold first place"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div>\n<p>We\u2019re about two-thirds of the way through the Premier League season, but there\u2019s so much work to do inside and outside of England for the clubs currently chasing the title.<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s just not as simple as looking at the 13 games each left on the schedules of top-three teams Arsenal, Manchester City, and Aston Villa, because the trio all have European and domestic cup games left on the docket. They could have as few as 16 or as many as 26 games between now and the Champions League Final on May 30.<\/p>\n<p><b>MORE \u2014 <\/b><span class=\"LinkEnhancement\"><a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nbcsports.com\/soccer\/news\/premier-league-2025-26-fixtures-released-dates-schedule-how-to-watch-live\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Premier League fixtures &amp; results<\/a><\/span> | <span class=\"LinkEnhancement\"><a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nbcsports.com\/soccer\/news\/premier-league-2025-26-table-teams-standings-for-the-new-season\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Current table<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Then there\u2019s the matter of determining the number teams of competing for the title, or a top-five place. Is it just being polite to keep Villa in the equation, nine points out with two teams ahead of them? Or given the potential small number of points to win the crown, should we be widening the field to include a single-competition team like Manchester United who could stay hot and make a run? <span class=\"LinkEnhancement\"><a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nbcsports.com\/soccer\/news\/top-30-premier-league-moments-no-19-kevin-keegan-infamous-rant-video\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Ask Kevin Keegan<\/a><\/span> what\u2019s possible.<\/p>\n<p>Arsenal are on pace for just over 85 points at 2.24 points per Premier League match this season and it may be possible that mid-80s is set to become the new norm for a champion of the deepest top division the world\u2019s seen. Winners with 90+ point totals became more normal over the past decade, but the depth of competition is so strong that the three centurions (Chelsea once, Man City twice) of the past decade or so already feel like outliers.<\/p>\n<p><b>MORE \u2014 <\/b><span class=\"LinkEnhancement\"><a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nbcsports.com\/soccer\/news\/premier-league-fan-fest-heading-to-tampa-bay-in-april-2026\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Fan Fest heads to Tampa for huge PL matchweek<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p>There\u2019s also the matter of expected points, possibly the most wrongly-used metric in the sport. They do show quality from previous performances but too often you\u2019ll read someone using them to project future point totals or goals. Take Arsenal, for example. They\u2019ve accumulated 56 points while missing some big players earlier in that stretch. Man City have not had a full-strength Rodri until recent weeks and did not have Marc Guehi or Antoine Semenyo until this month. Man United and others missed key pieces for AFCON. Multiplying the remaining games by presuming these teams will play at the same rate against different opponents with different lineups is ridiculous. Anyway&#8230;.<\/p>\n<p>Before we get to projecting the winners of the Premier League, let\u2019s ask a few interesting questions. For example, might Arsenal, Man City, and Villa not be the final identity of the PL\u2019s top three?<\/p>\n<h2>Premier League title race \u2014 Who has the easiest road home? Who can gate crash the \u2018top three?\u2019<\/h2>\n<p>For this exercise, let\u2019s just examine the Premier League opposition left on the schedule.<\/p>\n<p>Yes, we know that every team plays the same 19 opponents two times each, but this is about the road home and with 13 opponents left there are bound to be some duds.<\/p>\n<p>And this is why Arsenal should feel great about ending their wait for a Premier League title. The <span class=\"LinkEnhancement\"><a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.playoffstatus.com\/english-premier-league\/epl-strength-of-schedule-remaining-games.html#sflx\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Gunners have one of the four easiest fixture lists left<\/a><\/span> to go along with their six-point table lead. Aston Villa are right there with them, but have to make up those nine points without facing the Gunners.<\/p>\n<p>Manchester United and Chelsea surely believe they can be 4-5 points better than Villa, but is that reasonable?<\/p>\n<p>Maybe.<\/p>\n<p>Chelsea have the second-toughest slate left in the Premier League, and face a six-match stretch that starts with trips to Villa and Arsenal three days a part followed by Newcastle, Everton, Man City, and Man United.<\/p>\n<p>But there\u2019s another way to measure ease of schedule and that\u2019s sheer number of games. Manchester United\u2019s miserable season in the cups means Michael Carrick\u2019s men have just 13 games left and two of their three biggest asks \u2014 Liverpool and Villa \u2014 go to Old Trafford. With 39 points available they could feasibly target nine wins and be very close to Villa\u2019s current points-per-match (1.88).<\/p>\n<div class=\"Enhancement\">\n<div class=\"Enhancement-item\">\n<figure class=\"Figure\">\n<p>    <a class=\"AnchorLink\" id=\"image-bb0000\"\/><\/p>\n<picture><source type=\"image\/webp\" width=\"900\" height=\"600\" srcset=\"https:\/\/nbcsports.brightspotcdn.com\/dims4\/default\/30728ee\/2147483647\/strip\/true\/crop\/3514x2343+0+0\/resize\/600x400!\/format\/webp\/quality\/90\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fnbc-sports-production-nbc-sports.s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com%2Fbrightspot%2F36%2F3a%2F977318124dedbecfc05971877bf9%2Fhttps-delivery-gettyimages.com%2Fdownloads%2F2258808668 600w,https:\/\/nbcsports.brightspotcdn.com\/dims4\/default\/8e31862\/2147483647\/strip\/true\/crop\/3514x2343+0+0\/resize\/804x536!\/format\/webp\/quality\/90\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fnbc-sports-production-nbc-sports.s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com%2Fbrightspot%2F36%2F3a%2F977318124dedbecfc05971877bf9%2Fhttps-delivery-gettyimages.com%2Fdownloads%2F2258808668 804w\"><source width=\"900\" height=\"600\" srcset=\"https:\/\/nbcsports.brightspotcdn.com\/dims4\/default\/7476de6\/2147483647\/strip\/true\/crop\/3514x2343+0+0\/resize\/900x600!\/quality\/90\/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fnbc-sports-production-nbc-sports.s3.us-east-1.amazonaws.com%2Fbrightspot%2F36%2F3a%2F977318124dedbecfc05971877bf9%2Fhttps-delivery-gettyimages.com%2Fdownloads%2F2258808668\"><\/source><\/source><\/picture>\n<div class=\"Figure-content\"><figcaption class=\"Figure-caption\">\n<p>MANCHESTER, ENGLAND &#8211; FEBRUARY 1: Manchester United head coach \/ manager Michael Carrick celebrates with Benjamin Sesko of Manchester United at full time during the Premier League match between Manchester United and Fulham at Old Trafford on February 1, 2026 in Manchester, United Kingdom. (Photo by Robbie Jay Barratt &#8211; AMA\/Getty Images)<\/p>\n<\/figcaption><\/div>\n<\/figure><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<h2>Premier League title, top-five race \u2014 Most consequential games left<\/h2>\n<p>Almost every contender has at least one brutal stretch left on their schedule.<\/p>\n<p><b>Arsenal<\/b> have consecutive games \u2014 both London derbies \u2014 against Spurs and Chelsea a week apart later this month.<\/p>\n<p><b>Chelsea <\/b>go to Arsenal and Villa three days apart to start March, and then host Man City and Man United a week apart in April and Liverpool and Spurs a week apart in May. The latter two stretches could also touch tournament games.<\/p>\n<p><b>Man City <\/b>get Chelsea and Arsenal in consecutive April weeks with a possible Champions League quarterfinal touching those games.<\/p>\n<p><b>Liverpool <\/b>meet Man United and Chelsea in consecutive early May weeks.<\/p>\n<p><b>Aston Villa<\/b> finish the season with visits from Liverpool and Man City.<\/p>\n<p><b>Manchester United, <\/b>again, get a break from the schedule makers.<\/p>\n<p>And \u2014 <span class=\"LinkEnhancement\"><a class=\"Link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nbcsports.com\/soccer\/news\/premier-league-fan-fest-heading-to-tampa-bay-in-april-2026\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">attention: Tampa<\/a><\/span> \u2014 the weekend of April 18 is shaping up to be special, with Man City vs Arsenal, Chelsea vs Man United, and Everton vs Liverpool all dotted the fixture list.<\/p>\n<ul class=\"rte2-style-ul\">\n<li>February 22: Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal <\/li>\n<li>March 1: Arsenal vs Chelsea<\/li>\n<li>March 4: Aston Villa vs Chelsea<\/li>\n<li>March 15: Manchester United vs Aston Villa<\/li>\n<li>April 11: Chelsea vs Manchester City<\/li>\n<li>April 18: Manchester City vs Arsenal<\/li>\n<li>April 18: Chelsea vs Manchester United<\/li>\n<li>April 18: Everton vs Liverpool<\/li>\n<li>May 2: Manchester United vs Liverpool<\/li>\n<li>May 9: Liverpool vs Chelsea<\/li>\n<li>May 17: Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur<\/li>\n<li>May 17: Aston Villa vs Liverpool<\/li>\n<li>May 24: Aston Villa vs Manchester City<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Arsenal remaining schedule<\/h2>\n<p>*if necessary<br \/>#subject to change if Arsenal advance in cups<\/p>\n<p>Feb. 12 at Brentford<br \/>Feb. 15 vs Wigan Athletic (FA Cup)<br \/>Feb. 18 at Wolves<br \/>Feb. 22 at Tottenham Hotspur<br \/>March 1 vs Chelsea<br \/>March 4 at Brighton &amp; Hove Albion<br \/>*March 7 FA Cup fifth round<br \/>March 10-11 Champions League Round of 16 1st leg<br \/>March 15 vs Everton<br \/>March 17-18 Champions League Round of 16 2nd leg<br \/>March 22 vs Manchester City (League Cup Final)<br \/>*April 4 FA Cup quarterfinals<br \/>*April 7-8 Champions League quarterfinal 1st leg<br \/>April 11 vs Bournemouth<br \/>*April 14-15 Champions League quarterfinal 2nd leg<br \/>April 18 at Manchester City<br \/>April 25 vs Newcastle United#<br \/>*April 25 FA Cup semifinals<br \/>*April 28-29 Champions League semifinal 1st leg<br \/>May 2 vs Fulham<br \/>*May 5-6 Champions League semifinal 2nd leg<br \/>May 9 at West Ham United<br \/>*May 16 FA Cup Final<br \/>May 17 vs Burnley#<br \/>May 24 at Crystal Palace<br \/>*May 30 Champions League Final<\/p>\n<h2>Man City remaining schedule<\/h2>\n<p>*if necessary<br \/>#subject to change if City advance in cups<\/p>\n<p>Feb. 11 vs Fulham<br \/>Feb. 14 vs Salford City (FA Cup)<br \/>Feb. 21 vs Newcastle<br \/>Feb. 28 at Leeds<br \/>March 4 vs Nottingham Forest<br \/>*March 7 FA Cup fifth round<br \/>March 10-11 Champions League Round of 16 1st leg<br \/>March 14 at West Ham<br \/>March 17-18 Champions League Round of 16 2nd leg<br \/>March 21 vs Crystal Palace#<br \/>March 22 vs Arsenal (League Cup Final)<br \/>*April 4 FA Cup quarterfinals<br \/>*April 7-8 Champions League quarterfinal 1st leg<br \/>April 11 at Chelsea<br \/>*April 14-15 Champions League quarterfinal 2nd leg<br \/>April 18 vs Arsenal<br \/>April 25 at Burnley#<br \/>*April 25 FA Cup semifinals<br \/>*April 28-29 Champions League semifinal 1st leg<br \/>May 2 at Everton<br \/>*May 5-6 Champions League semifinal 2nd leg<br \/>May 9 vs Brentford<br \/>*May 16 FA Cup Final<br \/>May 17 at Bournemouth#<br \/>May 24 vs Aston Villa<br \/>*May 30 Champions League Final<\/p>\n<h2>Aston Villa remaining schedule<\/h2>\n<p>*if necessary<br \/>#subject to change if Villa advance in cups<\/p>\n<p>Feb. 11 vs Brighton<br \/>Feb. 14 vs Newcastle United (FA Cup)<br \/>Feb. 21 vs Leeds United<br \/>Feb. 28 at Wolves<br \/>March 4 vs Chelsea<br \/>*March 7 FA Cup fifth round<br \/>March 12 Europa League Round of 16 1st leg<br \/>March 15 at Manchester United<br \/>March 19 Europa League Round of 16 2nd leg<br \/>March 22 vs West Ham United<br \/>*April 4 FA Cup quarterfinals<br \/>*April 9 Europa League quarterfinal 1st leg<br \/>April 11 at Nottingham Forest<br \/>*April 16 Europa League quarterfinal 2nd leg<br \/>April 18 vs Sunderland<br \/>April 25 at Fulham#<br \/>*April 25 FA Cup semifinals<br \/>*April 30 Europa League semifinal 1st leg<br \/>May 2 vs Tottenham Hotspur<br \/>*May 7 Europa League semifinal 2nd leg<br \/>May 9 at Burnley<br \/>*May 16 FA Cup Final<br \/>May 17 vs Liverpool#<br \/>*May 20 Europa League Final<br \/>May 24 at Manchester City<\/p>\n<h2>Top-five race projected point totals<\/h2>\n<ol class=\"rte2-style-ol\" start=\"1\">\n<li>Arsenal \u2014 88 points<\/li>\n<li>Man City \u2014 85 points<\/li>\n<li>Chelsea \u2014 76 points<\/li>\n<li>Manchester United \u2014 76 points<\/li>\n<li>Aston Villa \u2014 76 points<\/li>\n<li>Liverpool \u2014 74 points<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>This is so, so difficult. Arsenal\u2019s schedule not only is the easiest but also includes the fewest number of games where their dropping points would come at the direct, immediate, on-field benefit of rivals on the day. Chelsea\u2019s schedule is just so difficult, but their goal differential may swing them ahead of the bunch. And City fans, don\u2019t be mad \u2014 we\u2019ve seen your team go months without losing and this projection includes a head-to-head win at home to the Gunners.<\/p>\n<div class=\"VideoEnhancement\">\n<p>    <a class=\"AnchorLink\" id=\"gyokeres-brace-gives-arsenal-3-0-lead\"\/><\/p>\n<div class=\"VideoEnhancement-player\">\n<div class=\"MpxVideoPlayer\" data-video-player=\"\">\n        <bsp-mpxplayer class=\"MpxVideoPlayer-player\" data-content-id=\"0000019c-392b-da31-a5be-f9efdef40000\" data-muted=\"\"><\/p>\n<p>        <\/bsp-mpxplayer><\/p>\n<div class=\"MpxVideoPlayer-content\">\n<p>Gyokeres&#8217; brace gives Arsenal 3-0 lead<\/p>\n<p>Viktor Gyokeres completes his brace off the bench for the Gunners to put the icing on the cake of Arsenal&#8217;s dominant performance against Sunderland at the Emirates.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<p><script type=\"text\/plain\" class=\"optanon-category-4\">\n  window.fbAsyncInit = function() {\n      FB.init({\n              appId : '206053216266379',\n          xfbml : true,\n          version : 'v2.9'\n      });\n  };\n  (function(d, s, id){\n     var js, fjs = d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];\n     if (d.getElementById(id)) {return;}\n     js = d.createElement(s); js.id = id;\n     js.src = \"https:\/\/connect.facebook.net\/en_US\/sdk.js\";\n     fjs.parentNode.insertBefore(js, fjs);\n   }(document, 'script', 'facebook-jssdk'));\n<\/script><br \/>\n<br \/><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nbcsports.com\/soccer\/news\/premier-league-title-race-remaining-schedules-predicted-point-totals-as-arsenal-looks-to-hold-first-place\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>We\u2019re about two-thirds of the way through the Premier League season, but there\u2019s so much work to do inside and outside of England for the clubs currently chasing the title. It\u2019s just not as simple as looking at the 13 games each left on the schedules of top-three teams Arsenal, Manchester City, and Aston Villa, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":86124,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"googlesitekit_rrm_CAow2JLhCw:productID":"","_gspb_post_css":"","maa_idioma":"","maa_pais":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[2725],"tags":[14710,4710,11408,3091,4356,6400,7646,3090,10090,14739,15412,4248,3653],"class_list":["post-86123","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-europe","tag-aim","tag-arsenal","tag-hold","tag-league","tag-place","tag-points","tag-predicted","tag-premier","tag-race","tag-remaining","tag-schedules","tag-title","tag-tracker"],"blocksy_meta":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.6 (Yoast SEO v27.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Premier League title race tracker: Remaining schedules, predicted points as Arsenal aim to hold first place - 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