{"id":90010,"date":"2026-02-25T06:41:43","date_gmt":"2026-02-25T09:41:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/how-a-prominent-fund-manager-dodged-2026s-software-stock-rout\/"},"modified":"2026-02-25T06:41:49","modified_gmt":"2026-02-25T09:41:49","slug":"how-a-prominent-fund-manager-dodged-2026s-software-stock-rout","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ubirataonline.com.br\/en\/how-a-prominent-fund-manager-dodged-2026s-software-stock-rout\/","title":{"rendered":"How a Prominent Fund Manager Dodged 2026\u2019s Software Stock Rout"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<div itemprop=\"articleBody text\">\n<p class=\"mdc-story-body__paragraph__mdc mdc-story-body__paragraph--large__mdc mdc-story-body__block__mdc\">Rajiv Jain wasn\u2019t alone. Other investors had warned about what they considered overly optimistic expectations for many technology stocks well before Anthropic\u2019s early-February announcement of enhanced artificial intelligence capabilities sent software stocks\u2014and others\u2014reeling. But few mutual fund managers matched the boldness of Jain\u2019s proclamations or the decisive portfolio shifts enacted by Jain and his team at GQG Partners.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mdc-story-body__paragraph__mdc mdc-story-body__paragraph--large__mdc mdc-story-body__block__mdc\">That contrarian stance has been rewarded\u2014finally. Even with some backsliding last week, GQG US Select Quality Equity <a href=\"https:\/\/www.morningstar.com\/funds\/xnas\/gqeix\/quote\" tabindex=\"0\" class=\"mdc-link__mdc mdc-link--body__mdc\">GQEIX<\/a> and GQG Global Quality Equity <a href=\"https:\/\/www.morningstar.com\/funds\/xnas\/gqrix\/quote\" tabindex=\"0\" class=\"mdc-link__mdc mdc-link--body__mdc\">GQRIX<\/a> ranked near the top of their respective Morningstar Categories for the year to date through Feb. 20, 2026. That\u2019s quite a contrast with 2025, when both funds scraped the bottom of their categories.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"frenzy-trade-mania\" class=\"mdc-heading__mdc mdc-heading--level-4__mdc mdc-heading--bold__mdc mdc-story-body__header__mdc mdc-story-body__block__mdc\">Frenzy Trade Mania?<\/h2>\n<p class=\"mdc-story-body__paragraph__mdc mdc-story-body__paragraph--large__mdc mdc-story-body__block__mdc\">Of course, it\u2019s much too soon to declare victory. And when Jain visited Morningstar\u2019s Chicago office on Feb. 3, he did not do so. Instead, in a discussion with Morningstar manager research analysts, he reiterated and expanded upon the assertions laid out in a series of GQG research papers published last fall. These reports, provocatively titled <a href=\"https:\/\/gqg.com\/insights\/dotcom-on-steroids\/\" tabindex=\"0\" class=\"mdc-link__mdc mdc-link--body__mdc\">\u201cDotcom on Steroids,\u201d<\/a> explained in detail why GQG considered the \u201cAI frenzy trade mania\u201d more dangerous for investors than the notorious tech bubble of the late 1990s.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"mdc-story-body__ad mdc-story-body__ad__mdc mdc-story-body__block__mdc\"> <\/aside>\n<p class=\"mdc-story-body__paragraph__mdc mdc-story-body__paragraph--large__mdc mdc-story-body__block__mdc\">The research papers featured detailed reasoning and supporting data\u2014too much to recount in full here. But the core argument was straightforward. The growth rates of the former Magnificent Seven stocks no longer seemed exceptional, resulting in unrealistic valuations. The same applied to other high-flying tech stocks. Owning them would expose GQG\u2019s funds to steep meltdowns. Jain and his team found much more compelling options in less-glamorous parts of the market.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"no-half-measures\" class=\"mdc-heading__mdc mdc-heading--level-4__mdc mdc-heading--bold__mdc mdc-story-body__header__mdc mdc-story-body__block__mdc\">No Half Measures<\/h2>\n<p class=\"mdc-story-body__paragraph__mdc mdc-story-body__paragraph--large__mdc mdc-story-body__block__mdc\">Acting on their convictions, Jain and team sold down GQG\u2019s tech holdings. In its Sept. 30, 2025, portfolio (the latest publicly available), GQG\u2019s US-focused fund owned only two of the Magnificent Seven\u2014relatively modest stakes in Microsoft <a href=\"https:\/\/www.morningstar.com\/stocks\/xnas\/msft\/quote\" tabindex=\"0\" class=\"mdc-link__mdc mdc-link--body__mdc\">MSFT<\/a> and Meta Platforms <a href=\"https:\/\/www.morningstar.com\/stocks\/xnas\/meta\/quote\" tabindex=\"0\" class=\"mdc-link__mdc mdc-link--body__mdc\">META<\/a>\u2014and it wouldn\u2019t be surprising if those two are missing when the December portfolio comes out. (Neither stock appeared in the Feb. 20 portfolio of GQG\u2019s similar exchange-traded fund <a href=\"https:\/\/www.morningstar.com\/etfs\/arcx\/gqgu\/quote\" tabindex=\"0\" class=\"mdc-link__mdc mdc-link--body__mdc\">GQGU<\/a>.)<\/p>\n<p class=\"mdc-story-body__paragraph__mdc mdc-story-body__paragraph--large__mdc mdc-story-body__block__mdc\">Jain didn\u2019t shift to other choices in the technology sector, either. According to Morningstar\u2019s classifications, the entire tech weighting in the US fund\u2019s September portfolio was less than 3%, a far cry from the category average of roughly 30%. Instead, the top of the portfolio featured hefty weightings in Philip Morris International <a href=\"https:\/\/www.morningstar.com\/stocks\/xnys\/pm\/quote\" tabindex=\"0\" class=\"mdc-link__mdc mdc-link--body__mdc\">PM<\/a>, AT&amp;T <a href=\"https:\/\/www.morningstar.com\/stocks\/xnys\/t\/quote\" tabindex=\"0\" class=\"mdc-link__mdc mdc-link--body__mdc\">T<\/a>, Cigna <a href=\"https:\/\/www.morningstar.com\/stocks\/xnys\/ci\/quote\" tabindex=\"0\" class=\"mdc-link__mdc mdc-link--body__mdc\">CI<\/a>, and other firms from those sectors\u2014many of which have risen nicely this year\u2014as well as several utilities. (In his Morningstar visit, Jain emphasized that GQG\u2019s utilities are not the ones touted as data center plays.) In Jain\u2019s view, such noncyclical stocks had reliable, stable growth prospects, while trading at historically low valuations\u2014the opposite of the AI-related tech companies.<\/p>\n<figure itemscope=\"itemscope\" itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/ImageObject\" class=\"mdc-story-playfair-embed__mdc mdc-story-body__exhibit__mdc\" style=\"max-width:800px;\">\n<p><iframe frameborder=\"0\" src=\"https:\/\/cosmos-cdn.morningstar.com\/playfair\/01KJ6E4D1QGPMB1NE6GEV8NJJ8\/index.html?copy=false\" title=\"Comparison of top holdings between GQEIX and SPY.\" class=\"mdc-story-playfair-embed__frame__mdc\" style=\"width:800px;max-width:100%;\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p> <meta itemprop=\"height\" content=\"450\"\/> <meta itemprop=\"width\" content=\"800\"\/> <meta itemprop=\"url\" content=\"https:\/\/cosmos-cdn.morningstar.com\/playfair\/01KJ6E4D1QGPMB1NE6GEV8NJJ8\/index.html\"\/><figcaption itemprop=\"caption\" class=\"mdc-story-playfair-embed__caption__mdc\"\/><\/figure>\n<p class=\"mdc-story-body__paragraph__mdc mdc-story-body__paragraph--large__mdc mdc-story-body__block__mdc\"><a href=\"https:\/\/gqg.com\/insights\/against-the-grain\/\" tabindex=\"0\" class=\"mdc-link__mdc mdc-link--body__mdc\">In a follow-up report<\/a> on Jan. 21, 2026, GQG\u2019s team emphasized that it had reexamined its views to ensure it had not erred in taking such an uncompromising stance against tech stocks. The team decided to stand firm. It declared in the report that examining the data \u201cmakes it nearly impossible to embark on the hype and underwrite the level of spending and valuations that we think are simply unsustainable.\u201d<\/p>\n<aside class=\"mdc-story-body__ad mdc-story-body__ad__mdc mdc-story-body__block__mdc\"> <\/aside>\n<h2 id=\"not-a-luddite\" class=\"mdc-heading__mdc mdc-heading--level-4__mdc mdc-heading--bold__mdc mdc-story-body__header__mdc mdc-story-body__block__mdc\">Not a Luddite<\/h2>\n<p class=\"mdc-story-body__paragraph__mdc mdc-story-body__paragraph--large__mdc mdc-story-body__block__mdc\">These moves are particularly noteworthy because Jain is no technophobe. As recently as June 30, 2024, five of the US fund\u2019s top eight holdings were members of the then-Magnificent Seven. (Broadcom <a href=\"https:\/\/www.morningstar.com\/stocks\/xnas\/avgo\/quote\" tabindex=\"0\" class=\"mdc-link__mdc mdc-link--body__mdc\">AVGO<\/a> was there, too.) At that time, Jain even made Nvidia <a href=\"https:\/\/www.morningstar.com\/stocks\/xnas\/nvda\/quote\" tabindex=\"0\" class=\"mdc-link__mdc mdc-link--body__mdc\">NVDA<\/a> the third-largest holding in GQG\u2019s emerging-market fund, with ASML <a href=\"https:\/\/www.morningstar.com\/stocks\/xnas\/asml\/quote\" tabindex=\"0\" class=\"mdc-link__mdc mdc-link--body__mdc\">ASML<\/a> and Broadcom also in the top five.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mdc-story-body__paragraph__mdc mdc-story-body__paragraph--large__mdc mdc-story-body__block__mdc\">Even now, Jain doesn\u2019t dismiss all the Big Tech names. He thinks Nvidia will be a winner in the AI transformation, and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing <a href=\"https:\/\/www.morningstar.com\/stocks\/xnys\/tsm\/quote\" tabindex=\"0\" class=\"mdc-link__mdc mdc-link--body__mdc\">TSM<\/a> appeared in the September 2025 portfolios of GQG\u2019s international, US, and emerging-market funds. In the latter, it took the top spot, with 9% of assets.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mdc-story-body__paragraph__mdc mdc-story-body__paragraph--large__mdc mdc-story-body__block__mdc\">The tech-heavy approach of mid-2024 hadn\u2019t been in place forever, though. In fact, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.morningstar.com\/funds\/growth-fund-without-tech-stocks\" tabindex=\"0\" class=\"mdc-link__mdc mdc-link--body__mdc\">just a few years earlier, Jain had exited the technology sector<\/a> as quickly and decisively as he did this time.<\/p>\n<figure itemscope=\"itemscope\" itemtype=\"https:\/\/schema.org\/ImageObject\" class=\"mdc-story-playfair-embed__mdc mdc-story-body__exhibit__mdc\" style=\"max-width:800px;\">\n<p><iframe frameborder=\"0\" src=\"https:\/\/cosmos-cdn.morningstar.com\/playfair\/01KJ5SWM8E7QJ41DM61MDRK1E0\/index.html?copy=false\" title=\"Line chart of Tech Portfolio Weighting of GQEIX and SPY from Oct. 2018 to Sept. 2025\" class=\"mdc-story-playfair-embed__frame__mdc\" style=\"width:800px;max-width:100%;\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p> <meta itemprop=\"height\" content=\"450\"\/> <meta itemprop=\"width\" content=\"800\"\/> <meta itemprop=\"url\" content=\"https:\/\/cosmos-cdn.morningstar.com\/playfair\/01KJ5SWM8E7QJ41DM61MDRK1E0\/index.html\"\/><figcaption itemprop=\"caption\" class=\"mdc-story-playfair-embed__caption__mdc\"\/><\/figure>\n<p class=\"mdc-story-body__paragraph__mdc mdc-story-body__paragraph--large__mdc mdc-story-body__block__mdc\">In that shift, energy stocks received most of the proceeds.<\/p>\n<aside class=\"mdc-story-body__ad mdc-story-body__ad__mdc mdc-story-body__block__mdc\"> <!----><\/aside>\n<p class=\"mdc-story-body__paragraph__mdc mdc-story-body__paragraph--large__mdc mdc-story-body__block__mdc\">Exchanging tech for energy paid off. In 2022, tech stocks plunged, but GQG\u2019s US fund lost just 2.7%, while the category average fell 17.0%. The global fund provided even more of a cushion; it dropped a mere 3.7%, while the category average sank a painful 27.9%.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"work-in-progress\" class=\"mdc-heading__mdc mdc-heading--level-4__mdc mdc-heading--bold__mdc mdc-story-body__header__mdc mdc-story-body__block__mdc\">Work in Progress<\/h2>\n<p class=\"mdc-story-body__paragraph__mdc mdc-story-body__paragraph--large__mdc mdc-story-body__block__mdc\">Market sentiment can change in a flash. It remains to be seen if GQG\u2019s contrarian stance will continue to reward shareholders as it did in 2022.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mdc-story-body__paragraph__mdc mdc-story-body__paragraph--large__mdc mdc-story-body__block__mdc\">And there\u2019s another reason for GQG not to proclaim victory; its emerging-market fund has not participated. After a 99th-percentile rank in its category in 2025, GQG Emerging Markets Equity <a href=\"https:\/\/www.morningstar.com\/funds\/xnas\/gqgix\/quote\" tabindex=\"0\" class=\"mdc-link__mdc mdc-link--body__mdc\">GQGIX<\/a> sat in the 82nd through Feb. 20 this year. In that fund, avoiding the big US tech names has provided little benefit, and in both 2025 and early 2026, returns were held back by favoring India over China and avoiding Korea\u2019s soaring SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics.<\/p>\n<h2 id=\"fitting-a-pattern\" class=\"mdc-heading__mdc mdc-heading--level-4__mdc mdc-heading--bold__mdc mdc-story-body__header__mdc mdc-story-body__block__mdc\">Fitting a Pattern<\/h2>\n<p class=\"mdc-story-body__paragraph__mdc mdc-story-body__paragraph--large__mdc mdc-story-body__block__mdc\">Jain has never shied away from taking bold bets reflecting his convictions. In fact, this is just the latest of several drastic portfolio shifts that he\u2019s made during his three decades in fund management. The record shows that his unconventional approach usually pays off. That does not guarantee this one will pan out long term.<\/p>\n<p class=\"mdc-story-body__paragraph__mdc mdc-story-body__paragraph--large__mdc mdc-story-body__block__mdc\">That said, Jain\u2019s antitech stance may not be around even medium term. One thing we know for sure: If company valuations and growth prospects change, Jain will not hesitate to act.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.morningstar.com\/funds\/how-prominent-fund-manager-dodged-2026s-software-stock-rout\">Source link <\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Rajiv Jain wasn\u2019t alone. Other investors had warned about what they considered overly optimistic expectations for many technology stocks well before Anthropic\u2019s early-February announcement of enhanced artificial intelligence capabilities sent software stocks\u2014and others\u2014reeling. But few mutual fund managers matched the boldness of Jain\u2019s proclamations or the decisive portfolio shifts enacted by Jain and his team [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":90011,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"googlesitekit_rrm_CAow2JLhCw:productID":"","_gspb_post_css":"","maa_idioma":"","maa_pais":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[20423,20422,11259,3430,20421,6622,8967,5417],"class_list":["post-90010","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ubirata","tag-2026s","tag-dodged","tag-fund","tag-manager","tag-prominent","tag-rout","tag-software","tag-stock"],"blocksy_meta":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.6 (Yoast SEO v27.6) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>How a Prominent Fund Manager Dodged 2026\u2019s Software Stock Rout - Ubirat\u00e3 Online Not\u00edcias - A realidade ao seu alcance!<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Rajiv Jain wasn\u2019t alone. 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